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FWRG
Stock ticker: NASDAQ
AS OF
Aug 21 closing price
Price
$17.60
Change
+$0.17 (+0.98%)
Capitalization
1.07B

FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is a daytime restaurant concept serving made-to-order breakfast, brunch, and lunch using fresh ingredients... Show more

FWRG
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FWRG with price predictions
Aug 21, 2025

FWRG sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory

On August 21, 2025, the Stochastic Oscillator for FWRG moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 47 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FWRG advanced for three days, in of 218 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 125 cases where FWRG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for FWRG moved out of overbought territory on July 24, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 22 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 19, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FWRG as a result. In of 71 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FWRG turned negative on August 15, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 36 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FWRG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

FWRG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 06, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FWRG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.786) is normal, around the industry mean (6.393). FWRG has a moderately high P/E Ratio (97.778) as compared to the industry average of (36.110). FWRG's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.875). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.055) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.418) is also within normal values, averaging (8.630).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FWRG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.

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FWRG
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
Show more...
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

FWRG is expected to report earnings to rise 108.67% to 6 cents per share on November 10

First Watch Restaurant Group FWRG Stock Earnings Reports
Q3'25
Est.
$0.06
Q2'25
Missed
by $0.03
Q1'25
Missed
by $0.05
Q4'24
Beat
by $0.01
Q3'24
Missed
by $0.01
The last earnings report on August 05 showed earnings per share of 2 cents, missing the estimate of 5 cents. With 602.94K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 1.07B.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Industry Restaurants

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
8725 Pendery Place
Phone
+1 941 907-9800
Employees
14000
Web
https://investors.firstwatch.com
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FWRG and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FWRG has been loosely correlated with BJRI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FWRG jumps, then BJRI could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FWRG
1D Price
Change %
FWRG100%
+0.98%
BJRI - FWRG
51%
Loosely correlated
-1.97%
KRUS - FWRG
50%
Loosely correlated
+0.64%
FRSH - FWRG
49%
Loosely correlated
+0.69%
CAKE - FWRG
48%
Loosely correlated
+0.34%
DIN - FWRG
46%
Loosely correlated
-0.80%
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