FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is a daytime restaurant concept serving made-to-order breakfast, brunch, and lunch using fresh ingredients... Show more
FWRG is expected to report earnings to 3 cents per share on November 09
Q3'26
Est.
$0.04
Q2'26
Missed
by $0.01
Q1'26
Missed
by $0.01
Q4'25
Beat
by $0.16
Q3'25
Missed
by $0.02
The last earnings report on August 04 showed earnings per share of 3 cents, missing the estimate of 5 cents. With 351.12K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 804.11M.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FWRG has been loosely correlated with FRSH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FWRG jumps, then FRSH could also see price increases.
Momentum Indicator for FWRG turns positive, indicating new upward trend
FWRG saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on August 20, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 88 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 88 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FWRG just turned positive on August 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where FWRG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
FWRG moved above its 50-day moving average on August 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FWRG advanced for three days, in of 270 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FWRG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
FWRG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for FWRG entered a downward trend on August 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. FWRG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.268) is normal, around the industry mean (6.200). P/E Ratio (46.536) is within average values for comparable stocks, (40.478). FWRG's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.776). FWRG has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.026). P/S Ratio (0.615) is also within normal values, averaging (2.631).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FWRG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
