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FWRG Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Head-and-Shoulders Top on November 04, 2024

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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Head-and-Shoulders Top
FWRG - First Watch Restaurant Group
Tickeron
Emerged: 11/04/24
Breakout: $16.68
Price: $17.21
Target price: $15.77
A.I.dvisor detected a bearish Head-and-Shoulders Top pattern for FWRG stock. This pattern was detected on November 04, 2024 . The odds of reaching the target price are 6. The pattern forms with a center peak (the Head, labeled 3) and left and right Shoulders (1, 5). Eventually the security stops testing highs and reverses trend into a decline. Consider selling a security short before it declines or buying a put option to benefit from the price decline. To improve success chances, wait for a confirmation move: allow the price to break below the Neckline level (2, 4), which is calculated as the average of the two lows between the Head and the Shoulders.

FWRG sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

FWRG saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on November 15, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 28 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for FWRG moved out of overbought territory on November 12, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 18 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 18 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 39 cases where FWRG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FWRG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

FWRG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 06, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 05, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FWRG as a result. In of 54 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

FWRG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 17, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FWRG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 24, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FWRG advanced for three days, in of 169 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 111 cases where FWRG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FWRG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.873) is normal, around the industry mean (10.170). P/E Ratio (55.212) is within average values for comparable stocks, (56.999). FWRG's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.762). FWRG has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.037). P/S Ratio (1.136) is also within normal values, averaging (8.691).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FWRG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.

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FWRG
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General Information

Industry Restaurants

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
8725 Pendery Place
Phone
+1 941 907-9800
Employees
14000
Web
https://investors.firstwatch.com