GECC Great Elm Capital Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Aroon Indicator for GECC shows an upward move is likely

GECC's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on September 10, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 236 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 169 of the 236 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 72%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

GECC moved above its 50-day moving average on August 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GECC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

Following a +1.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GECC advanced for three days, in 156 of 275 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for GECC moved out of overbought territory on August 10, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 18 of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 67%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 31 of 57 cases where GECC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GECC as a result. In 57 of 116 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GECC turned negative on September 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 23 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 52%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GECC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.

GECC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 14 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.752) is normal, around the industry mean (3.383). P/E Ratio (4.765) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.087). GECC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.018). GECC has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.216) as compared to the industry average of (0.088). GECC's P/S Ratio (368.336) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (16.116).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GECC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GECC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.