Inflation rate slows, as energy prices cool off
U.S. inflation slowed again last month, even as core consumer price index accelerated.
The headline consumer price index (CPI) in August rose +8.3% year-over-year, compared to +8.5% in July. The figure, however, exceeded the Street consensus forecast of 8.1%.
While the energy price fell -5% from the year-ago period, food price inflation came in at +11.4% y/y (the fastest pace since April 1979).
The core inflation gauge, which excludes volatile components such as food and energy prices, climbed +6.3% year-over-year, beating the Street forecasts.
GOVT's RSI Oscillator leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Oscillator for GOVT moved out of overbought territory on July 01, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 22 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 22 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
GOVT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 25, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GOVT as a result. In of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOVT just turned positive on July 29, 2025. Looking at past instances where GOVT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 59 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
GOVT moved above its 50-day moving average on July 16, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVT advanced for three days, in of 280 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 179 cases where GOVT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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Category IntermediateGovernment