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GPS
Stock ticker:
NYSE
AS OF
Dec 6, 11:33 AM (EDT)
Price
$14.45
Change
-$0.70 (-4.62%)
Capitalization
5.53B

GPS Gap (The) Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

an operator of stores that retail clothing, accessories and personal care products

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GPS Trading results, last 6 months
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for AAPL with price predictions
12:00 AM EST Dec 05, 2022

Aroon Indicator for GPS shows an upward move is likely

GPS's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on December 05, 2022. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 162 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 121 of the 162 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 75%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 10, 2022. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GPS as a result. In of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GPS just turned positive on November 11, 2022. Looking at past instances where GPS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 59 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for GPS moved above the 200-day moving average on December 01, 2022. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GPS advanced for three days, in of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 14 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GPS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

GPS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 18, 2022. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.151) is normal, around the industry mean (6.508). GPS's P/E Ratio (101.010) is considerably higher than the industry average of (19.384). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.198) is also within normal values, averaging (6.074). Dividend Yield (0.038) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.354) is also within normal values, averaging (1.664).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GPS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GPS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.

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A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap (The) (NYSE:GPS), Foot Locker (NYSE:FL), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Guess (NYSE:GES), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 9.42B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 92.66B. TJX holds the highest valuation in this group at 92.66B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5%. BZTAF experienced the highest price growth at 84%, while DBI experienced the biggest fall at -30%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 90% and the average quarterly volume growth was -66%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 21
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 13 (-100 ... +100)
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published Earnings

GPS is expected to report earnings to fall 158.56% to -41 cents per share on March 02

Gap (The) GPS Stock Earnings Reports
Q1'23
Est.
$-0.42
Q4'22
Beat
by $0.71
Q3'22
Beat
by $0.13
Q2'22
Missed
by $0.29
Q1'22
Beat
by $0.11
The last earnings report on November 17 showed earnings per share of 70 cents, beating the estimate of 0 cents. With 1.15M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 5.53B.
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published Dividends

GPS paid dividends on October 26, 2022

Gap (The) GPS Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.15 per share was paid with a record date of October 26, 2022, and an ex-dividend date of October 04, 2022. Read more...
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published General Information

General Information

an operator of stores that retail clothing, accessories and personal care products

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
Two Folsom Street
Phone
+1 415 427-0100
Employees
97000
Web
https://www.gapinc.com
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GPS and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GPS has been closely correlated with URBN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GPS jumps, then URBN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To GPS
1D Price
Change %
GPS100%
+2.02%
URBN - GPS
80%
Closely correlated
-1.86%
BKE - GPS
74%
Closely correlated
+0.54%
AEO - GPS
73%
Closely correlated
+0.56%
PLCE - GPS
71%
Closely correlated
+0.22%
ZUMZ - GPS
67%
Closely correlated
-3.32%
More

Groups containing GPS

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To GPS
1D Price
Change %
GPS100%
+2.02%
GPS
(undefined stocks)
83%
Closely correlated
-1.48%
malls
(undefined stocks)
78%
Closely correlated
-2.02%
retail
(undefined stocks)
76%
Closely correlated
-0.37%
athletic
(undefined stocks)
75%
Closely correlated
-1.05%
accessories
(undefined stocks)
75%
Closely correlated
-0.99%
More