HARL Harleysville Financial Corp. Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

HARL's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HARL turned positive on December 26, 2024. Looking at past instances where HARL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 58 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HARL advanced for three days, in of 100 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 63 cases where HARL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 08, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HARL as a result. In of 123 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

HARL moved below its 50-day moving average on January 08, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The Aroon Indicator for HARL entered a downward trend on December 30, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.991) is normal, around the industry mean (1.030). P/E Ratio (7.114) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.662). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.366). Dividend Yield (0.052) settles around the average of (0.058) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.581) is also within normal values, averaging (2.921).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. HARL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.