Hilton Worldwide Holdings operates 1... Show more
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. is one of the world's largest hospitality companies, operating a portfolio of roughly 28 brands spanning more than 9,200 properties and over 1.3 million rooms across 144 countries and territories. The company primarily runs an asset-light, franchise-and-management model that generates fee-based revenue rather than relying on hotel ownership.
Hilton's competitive strengths include its global brand scale, its loyalty program, and a development pipeline that stood at a record 541,300 rooms as of June 30, 2026, up 6% from a year earlier. Investors follow the stock closely because its fee-driven model, net unit growth, and revenue per available room (RevPAR) trends offer a broad read on global travel demand.
Over the last 30 days, HLT advanced approximately 11.4%, moving from a closing price of about $313.96 in late September to roughly $349.63 by late October. The rally accelerated in mid-October, when the shares jumped from the low $320s to an intraday peak above $360 before a modest pullback trimmed some of the gains.
The trailing quarter tells a broader story of recovery. From a late-July close near $324.97, the stock finished the period about 7.6% higher, even after a soft patch in early September that briefly pushed shares toward the $300 level. The subsequent rebound, capped by October's surge, reflects renewed investor conviction heading into earnings.
The most visible catalyst was a series of analyst actions concentrated in October. Barclays raised its price target to $384 from $368 while maintaining an Overweight rating, citing expectations for strong third-quarter RevPAR "beats and raises" driven by U.S. business travel. Robert W. Baird reiterated a Buy rating with a $360 target, Wells Fargo maintained an Overweight stance, and Morgan Stanley raised its target to $336 from $332. Offsetting these views, Susquehanna initiated coverage with a Hold rating and a $345 target, while Bernstein maintained a Hold with a $320 target.
Corporate news also contributed. Hilton announced it would transfer its common stock listing from the NYSE to Nasdaq, effective November 5, 2026, a move management framed as supportive of the company's growth ambitions. Combined with anticipation of third-quarter results, these developments helped drive a notable volume surge and pushed the shares to multi-month highs.
The quarterly move reflected a steadily improving fundamental backdrop. In late July, Hilton reported second-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $2.29 on revenue of $3.34 billion, with system-wide comparable RevPAR up 3.9% on a currency-neutral basis. Management raised its full-year RevPAR growth outlook to 3% to 3.5%, from 2% to 3%, citing strong demand trends and a boost from the FIFA World Cup.
However, third-quarter earnings guidance initially came in below some Wall Street estimates, contributing to a September pullback. The stock then regained momentum as analyst expectations reset and as October's upgrades, the Nasdaq listing announcement, and optimism around business and group travel demand reasserted themselves.
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Hilton's third-quarter earnings report, scheduled for October 27, 2026, is the nearest catalyst, with consensus estimates near $2.34 per share on revenue of roughly $3.39 billion. Investors will focus on RevPAR trends, particularly U.S. business transient and group demand, along with any updates to full-year guidance.
Beyond earnings, key factors include the completed Nasdaq listing transfer, net unit growth and pipeline conversion progress, the lingering impact of Middle East conflict on regional demand, China's uneven recovery, and fourth-quarter headwinds from unfavorable calendar shifts and the U.S. midterm elections. These elements, rather than any single event, are likely to shape sentiment in the months ahead.
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HLT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 39 of 53 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The 10-day moving average for HLT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Following a +3.56% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HLT advanced for three days, in 199 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 180 of 343 cases where HLT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 52%.
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HLT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
HLT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 60, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. HLT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 36 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (-13.199) is normal, around the industry mean (1.108). P/E Ratio (53.727) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.056). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.324) is also within normal values, averaging (20.230). Dividend Yield (0.002) settles around the average of (0.042) among similar stocks. HLT's P/S Ratio (5.692) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.766).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a holding company, which provides hospitality services
Industry CableSatelliteTV