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INTU
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INTU stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Intuit serves small and midsize businesses with accounting software QuickBooks and online marketing platform Mailchimp... Show more

INTU
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A.I.Advisor
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Jul 19, 2026

Intuit (INTU) Stock Analysis: Recovery Attempt Follows Steep Post-Earnings Decline

Key Takeaways

  • Intuit shares closed at $291.09 on July 17, 2026, reflecting a roughly 9% bounce from the June 18 close of $267.00 but still down approximately 64% from the 52-week high of $813.70.
  • The stock's severe drawdown was triggered by fiscal Q3 2026 results on May 20, where weaker-than-expected TurboTax growth and a 17% workforce reduction announcement drove a 20% single-day selloff.
  • Multiple securities class-action lawsuits have been filed against Intuit, alleging the company misled investors about TurboTax's competitive positioning and pricing pressures, creating ongoing legal overhang.
  • Wall Street analyst sentiment has turned sharply more cautious, with Goldman Sachs downgrading to Sell, Piper Sandler initiating at Underweight with a Street-low $250 target, and numerous firms slashing price targets.
  • Despite the headwinds, Intuit's core financials remain solid: an 80%-plus gross margin, strong free cash flow, a $22.5 billion buyback authorization, and a consistent dividend.

Current Market Snapshot

Intuit Inc. (INTU) is navigating one of the most challenging periods in its modern history. After touching a 52-week high of $813.70, the stock has retreated roughly 64%, bottoming at $252.84 in late June 2026 before staging a partial recovery to the $291 level by mid-July. The stock's 50-day simple moving average sits near $303, while the 200-day moving average remains materially higher around $407, underscoring the depth of the recent decline. With a market capitalization of approximately $79.6 billion and a P/E ratio compressed to roughly 17.6, Intuit now trades at a significant discount to its historical valuation multiples. Institutional ownership remains elevated at 83.7%, though recent 13F filings show mixed positioning, with some funds trimming exposure while others, including Principal Financial Group and the Swiss National Bank, have added to their stakes.

Intuit (INTU) Business Overview and Competitive Position

Headquartered in Mountain View, California, Intuit is a global financial technology platform serving consumers, small and mid-market businesses, self-employed workers, and accounting professionals. The company's flagship products include QuickBooks, the market-leading small-business accounting and business-management ecosystem; TurboTax, the dominant do-it-yourself tax preparation service; Credit Karma, a consumer credit and personal-finance platform; and Mailchimp, an email marketing and automation solution. Under CEO Sasan Goodarzi, Intuit has repositioned itself around an AI-driven expert platform strategy, embedding artificial intelligence across QuickBooks, TurboTax Live, Credit Karma, and Mailchimp. The company's competitive moat has historically rested on brand recognition, deep integration into small-business workflows, and tax-code complexity that favors incumbent software. However, rising competition from free or low-cost alternatives — including the IRS Direct File program, generative-AI-powered tools, and aggressive pricing from rival tax-prep platforms — is challenging that position, particularly among price-sensitive do-it-yourself filers.

Recent Developments Driving INTU

The most consequential recent event for Intuit was the May 20, 2026, release of fiscal third-quarter results. While the company beat consensus estimates — reporting EPS of $12.80 versus expectations of $12.57 and revenue of $8.56 billion against an $8.54 billion consensus — the reaction was overwhelmingly negative. TurboTax revenue grew just 7% year-over-year, missing the roughly 9% analysts had modeled, and management acknowledged the company "did not have the overall tax season we expected" and "lost on price" among price-sensitive DIY filers. Simultaneously, Intuit announced plans to cut approximately 17% of its global workforce — roughly 3,000 positions — and close offices in Reno and Woodland Hills as part of a strategic restructuring. The stock plunged 20% on May 21.

In the weeks since, multiple plaintiff law firms — including Pomerantz, Bragar Eagel & Squire, Faruqi & Faruqi, and Robbins Geller — have filed securities class-action lawsuits alleging Intuit misled investors about TurboTax's competitive advantages and growth trajectory between August 2025 and May 2026. The lead-plaintiff deadline is set for September 8, 2026. On the analyst front, Goldman Sachs downgraded the stock to Sell with a $276 target in early June, Stifel moved from Buy to Hold, and Piper Sandler initiated coverage with an Underweight rating and a $250 price target — the lowest on Wall Street. Still, the broader analyst consensus remains at "Moderate Buy," with an average price target near $490, reflecting a split between bulls who see long-term AI-driven value and bears focused on near-term growth compression.

Trending AI Robots

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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

Looking ahead, several factors will shape Intuit's trajectory through the remainder of fiscal 2026 and into 2027. The Q4 2026 earnings report, expected around August 20, will be closely scrutinized for updated TurboTax guidance, management's progress on the workforce restructuring, and any evidence that AI-driven products are gaining traction in both the assisted tax and small-business segments. The company guided Q4 EPS to $3.56–$3.62 and full-year EPS to $23.80–$23.85, targets that now face heightened skepticism. Legal developments surrounding the securities class actions represent another key risk factor, with the September 8 lead-plaintiff deadline likely to keep litigation headlines active. Competitive dynamics also merit attention: the IRS Direct File program continues to expand, and generative AI tools from both established players and startups are lowering barriers in tax preparation and bookkeeping. On the positive side, Intuit's aggressive share repurchase program — backed by an $8 billion increase to its buyback authorization — could provide a valuation floor, while the company's deepening AI integration across QuickBooks, Credit Karma, and Mailchimp may unlock longer-term efficiency gains and revenue growth if execution improves.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for INTU with price predictions
Aug 04, 2026

Momentum Indicator for INTU turns positive, indicating new upward trend

INTU saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on July 02, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 88 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 88 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

INTU moved above its 50-day moving average on July 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for INTU crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTU advanced for three days, in of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 198 cases where INTU Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for INTU moved out of overbought territory on July 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 65 cases where INTU's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTU declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

INTU broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.290) is normal, around the industry mean (76.065). P/E Ratio (19.744) is within average values for comparable stocks, (81.727). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.840) is also within normal values, averaging (1.688). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.048) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.331) is also within normal values, averaging (52.041).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. INTU’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INTU’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

INTU paid dividends on July 17, 2026

Intuit INTU Stock Dividends
А dividend of $1.20 per share was paid with a record date of July 17, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of July 09, 2026. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Zoom Communications Inc (NASDAQ:ZM).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 11.68B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 400.64B. QH holds the highest valuation in this group at 400.64B. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 7%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. IDAI experienced the highest price growth at 47%, while YAAS experienced the biggest fall at -86%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 7%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 16% and the average quarterly volume growth was -45%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 77
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 94
Seasonality Score: -6 (-100 ... +100)
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INTU
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published General Information

General Information

a provider of software products for businesses

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Details
Industry
Packaged Software
Address
2700 Coast Avenue
Phone
+1 650 944-6000
Employees
18200
Web
https://www.intuit.com
Intuit (INTU) Stock Analysis: Recovery Attempt Follows Steep Post-Earnings Decline