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JAGX
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JAGX stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Jaguar Health Inc is a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company developing novel proprietary prescription medicines sustainably derived from plants from rainforest areas for gastrointestinal disease states in humans and animals... Show more

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JAGX
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 27, 2026

Why Jaguar Health (JAGX) Stock Is Down -70% in the Last 30 Days

Key Takeaways

  • Jaguar Health (JAGX) shares have fallen roughly 70% over the last 30 days, extending a steep multi-month downtrend.
  • The decline follows a 1-for-15 reverse stock split effective September 17, 2026, executed to support Nasdaq listing compliance.
  • A brief September 22 spike tied to an FDA fee waiver for Mytesi reversed quickly amid profit-taking and renewed equity dilution.
  • Debt-for-equity exchanges with lender Streeterville Capital reduced debt but expanded the share count, pressuring the stock.
  • Ongoing going-concern risk, a roughly $391 million accumulated deficit, and a $12.7 million Q2 2026 net loss continue to weigh on sentiment.
  • For deeper data on this ticker, review its Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast pages.
  • Explore automated trading strategies on the Trending AI Robots page.

Jaguar Health (JAGX) Company Overview and Market Position

Jaguar Health, Inc. is a San Francisco-based commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company developing plant-derived prescription medicines for gastrointestinal conditions. Its lead compound, crofelemer, is purified from the red bark sap of the Croton lechleri tree and is the active ingredient in Mytesi, an FDA-approved treatment for noninfectious diarrhea in adults with HIV/AIDS on antiretroviral therapy, and in Canalevia-CA1, conditionally approved for chemotherapy-induced diarrhea in dogs.

In January 2026, Jaguar out-licensed U.S. commercialization of Mytesi and Canalevia-CA1 to an affiliate of Future Pak, receiving a $16 million upfront fee (up to $18 million including post-closing conditions) plus up to $20 million in milestone payments. The company has since concentrated its development efforts on a concentrated liquid formulation of crofelemer for rare intestinal failure indications, including microvillus inclusion disease (MVID) and short bowel syndrome with intestinal failure (SBS-IF). Investors follow the stock for its rare-disease pipeline catalysts as well as its liquidity and dilution risks.

Jaguar Health (JAGX) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter

Over the last 30 days, JAGX has declined approximately 70%, from an adjusted closing price near $7.70 in late September to about $2.28. The move was volatile rather than linear: shares spiked above $34 intraday in late September before giving back most of those gains within days.

The broader trend is even steeper. Over the trailing three months, the stock has fallen roughly 85%, from about $15.00 in late July to current levels. The 1-for-15 reverse stock split that took effect on September 17, 2026 was a mechanical adjustment that consolidated shares without changing market capitalization, but the continued slide that followed reflects persistent dilution and concerns about the company's balance sheet.

What Drove JAGX Stock Price in the Last 30 Days

The recent 30-day move was dominated by capital-structure changes and extreme low-float volatility. On September 17, 2026, Jaguar completed a 1-for-15 reverse stock split to regain compliance with Nasdaq's minimum bid-price requirement, leaving a public float of roughly 520,000 shares.

On September 22, the stock surged more than 1,100% to close near $34.46 after the FDA granted a fiscal year 2027 Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) fee waiver for Mytesi. The constrained float amplified the move. The rally reversed over the following sessions as profit-taking set in and the company disclosed debt-for-equity exchanges with Streeterville Capital, issuing 547,898 new shares to retire about $5.05 million of its secured 2025 promissory note, a roughly 42.7% expansion of the then-outstanding share count. Additional exchanges in late September fully retired the note, reducing total debt by more than $6.7 million but further diluting existing holders. A Form 424B5 prospectus supplement filed on September 3 had already signaled the potential for further equity issuance.

What Drove JAGX Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter

Over the trailing quarter, the overriding narrative has been balance-sheet pressure rather than a single catalyst. Jaguar reported a second-quarter 2026 net loss of approximately $12.7 million against roughly $1.2 million in net prescription product revenue, underscoring continued cash burn. The company's filings disclose an accumulated deficit of about $391.1 million as of March 31, 2026 and state that recurring losses raise substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern.

The strategic shift toward rare-disease development, while potentially transformative, has left the company dependent on additional financing ahead of its planned mid-2027 new drug application for crofelemer in MVID. That combination of dilution, thin liquidity, and uncertain funding has kept shares under sustained downward pressure over the quarter.

Trending AI Robots

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JAGX Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next

Looking ahead, the key factors for JAGX include the timing and outcome of its planned new drug application for crofelemer in MVID, targeted for mid-2027, and whether the company secures Breakthrough Therapy designation from the FDA. Additional Phase 2 data in SBS-IF and any partnership or business-development announcements could also shape the outlook. On the risk side, investors should monitor financing and dilution events, the company's cash runway, and its ability to maintain Nasdaq listing compliance. Given the company's going-concern disclosure, liquidity and capital-raising activity remain central to the stock's trajectory.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for JAGX with price predictions
Nov 02, 2026

Momentum Indicator for JAGX turns negative, indicating new downward trend

JAGX saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 67 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 65 of the 67 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JAGX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator for JAGX entered a downward trend on November 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JAGX just turned positive on October 26, 2026. Looking at past instances where JAGX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 39 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

Following a +10.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JAGX advanced for three days, in 138 of 172 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

JAGX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 46 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.070) is normal, around the industry mean (3.104). P/E Ratio (0.001) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-0.958). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (9.059). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (129.907) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.003) is also within normal values, averaging (439.647).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. JAGX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. JAGX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:REGN), Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA), Incyte Corp (NASDAQ:INCY), Exelixis (NASDAQ:EXEL), Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ARWR), Sarepta Therapeutics (NASDAQ:SRPT), Novavax (NASDAQ:NVAX), Nektar Therapeutics (NASDAQ:NKTR), Inovio Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:INO), Cel-Sci Corp (ASE:CVM).

Industry description

Biotechnology involves genetic or protein engineering to produce medicines/therapies for treating and preventing ailments. The industry also provides crucial ingredients for diagnostics. This multi-billion-dollar industry is heavily focused on research and development, as companies attempt to continually come up with cutting-edge solutions for health. New discoveries for the treatment of diseases provide opportunities for growth for a company in this industry. Discoveries, however, must pass the regulatory approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) before they can make it to markets. Amgen Inc., Gilead Sciences, Inc. and Celgene Corporation are examples of companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Biotechnology Industry is 2.19B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 58 to 140.2B. VRTX holds the highest valuation in this group at 140.2B. The lowest valued company is SEELQ at 58.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -13%, and the average quarterly price growth was -20%. INO experienced the highest price growth at 117%, while ABOS experienced the biggest fall at -89%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was 28%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 53% and the average quarterly volume growth was -18%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 44
Price Growth Rating: 66
SMR Rating: 93
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: -3 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a developer of pharmaceuticals

Industry Biotechnology

Industry
Pharmaceuticals Generic
Address
200 Pine Street
Phone
+1 415 371-8300
Employees
47
Web
http://www.jaguar.health
Why Jaguar Health (JAGX) Stock Is Down -70% in the Last 30 Days