JEF Jefferies Financial Group Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 11, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on JEF as a result. In 45 of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JEF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.

The Aroon Indicator for JEF entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where JEF's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 23 of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 39 of 46 cases where JEF's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JEF just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where JEF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

Following a +1.16% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JEF advanced for three days, in 272 of 366 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

JEF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 11 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.028) is normal, around the industry mean (4.320). P/E Ratio (13.165) is within average values for comparable stocks, (30.932). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.030) is also within normal values, averaging (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.889) is also within normal values, averaging (16.763).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. JEF’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. JEF’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.