JEF Jefferies Financial Group Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on JEF as a result. In 55 of 77 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

Following a +6.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JEF advanced for three days, in 256 of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for JEF moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 31 of the 54 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 57%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 37 of 63 cases where JEF's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.

JEF moved below its 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 50-day moving average for JEF moved below the 200-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JEF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.

JEF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for JEF entered a downward trend on October 28, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JEF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. JEF’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 84 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.034) is normal, around the industry mean (3.132). P/E Ratio (12.910) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.756). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.030) is also within normal values, averaging (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (8.982) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.889) is also within normal values, averaging (16.899).