Joby Aviation (JOBY) Stock Price, Chart, Fundamentals & AI Forecast
Joby Aviation Inc is a transportation company developing an all-electric, vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) air taxi for commercial passenger service... Show more
Why Joby Aviation (JOBY) Stock Is Down -16% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- Joby Aviation shares declined approximately 16% over the last 30 days, sliding from $8.83 on June 26 to $7.38 on July 27, 2026.
- The broader eVTOL sector is under heavy pressure, with Joby, ACHR, and EH collectively shedding billions in market value amid dilution fears and fading risk appetite for pre-revenue growth stocks.
- A Toyota manufacturing joint venture announced June 30 and selection for the White House eVTOL Integration Pilot Program provided positive catalysts, but they were overshadowed by persistent cash-burn and dilution concerns.
- Short interest has climbed to approximately 10% of Joby's float, reflecting bets that the company will require additional capital raises before generating meaningful revenue.
- Joby reports quarterly earnings on August 5, 2026, with investors closely watching cash-burn rates and commercialization timeline updates.
Joby Aviation (JOBY) Company Overview and Market Position
Joby Aviation is a vertically integrated aerospace company developing electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for urban air mobility. Headquartered in Santa Cruz, California, the company designs and manufactures its flagship S4 aircraft, which seats a pilot and four passengers and is engineered for quiet, zero-emission aerial ridesharing. Joby aims to launch commercial air taxi services in cities including New York and Dubai, positioning itself to capture a slice of a global urban air mobility market that Morgan Stanley has estimated could reach $1 trillion by 2040.
Joby holds a strong partnership network, with TM as its largest institutional shareholder at roughly 13%, alongside commercial agreements with DAL, UBER, and the U.S. Department of Defense. The company ended the first quarter of 2026 with approximately $2.5 billion in cash and equivalents, giving it one of the strongest liquidity positions in the eVTOL sector.
Joby Aviation (JOBY) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, Joby shares fell from $8.83 at the June 26 close to $7.38 on July 27, representing a decline of approximately 16.4%. The stock experienced a sharp selloff in early July, dropping from around $8.49 on July 2 to $7.34 by July 16, before briefly recovering above $7.60 and then sliding again in late July.
Looking at the full quarter, Joby shares traded near $9.04 in late April and rose as high as $12.30 on May 28 following positive earnings and certification momentum. That rally proved short-lived. A steep correction in June—including a single-day drop from $11.14 to $9.55 on June 5—wiped out the gains, and the stock continued drifting lower through July. From late April to late July, the stock declined roughly 18%, underscoring persistent selling pressure even as operational milestones accumulated.
What Drove JOBY Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The 30-day decline was driven primarily by a broad repricing of the eVTOL sector rather than any single company-specific negative event. Investor appetite for pre-revenue, high-cash-burn growth stocks has diminished significantly, and the entire air taxi cohort—Joby, ACHR, and EH—has been caught in the downdraft.
Dilution concerns have been a dominant theme. Joby's outstanding share count has grown from roughly 300 million at its 2021 debut to over 560 million, and analysts widely expect further equity raises before the company reaches profitability. Short interest climbing to 10% of the float reflects market skepticism about the timeline to commercial revenue. Additionally, insider stock sales by executives—though characterized as non-discretionary, tax-related transactions under pre-arranged 10b5-1 plans—added a negative sentiment overhang.
On the positive side, Joby and Toyota announced a manufacturing joint venture on June 30, with Toyota holding a 51% stake and Joby 49%. The deal deepened a years-long partnership and signaled confidence in Joby's path to scaled production. Separately, Joby's selection for the White House-backed eVTOL Integration Pilot Program (eIPP) opened pathways for early operations across 11 U.S. states. These developments, however, were insufficient to offset the broader risk-off sentiment and dilution anxiety weighing on the stock.
What Drove JOBY Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
Joby's quarterly performance has been defined by high volatility and a pronounced fade in risk appetite. The stock rallied sharply in May after the company reported first-quarter results that beat analyst estimates—revenue of $24.25 million versus a $20.17 million consensus and a narrower-than-expected EPS loss. The company also confirmed it entered Stage 5 of the FAA type certification process, and its first FAA-conforming production aircraft began flight testing, marking a significant derisking milestone.
That momentum stalled in June as an unfavorable Russell index rebalancing triggered heavy institutional turnover, and a broader market rotation away from speculative growth names intensified. Cash-burn figures remained stark: Joby reported a fiscal 2025 operating cash outflow of $509.9 million and guided for $340 million to $370 million in first-half 2026 cash usage. Despite holding one of the sector's deepest cash reserves, the company's path to self-sustaining revenue remains several years away, keeping valuation multiples elevated and the stock vulnerable to macro-driven selloffs.
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JOBY Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Joby Aviation's upcoming quarterly report on August 5, 2026, is the most immediate catalyst. Investors will scrutinize cash-burn rates against the company's guided range of $340 million to $370 million for the first half of the year, as well as any updates on commercialization timelines. Progress toward FAA type certification—specifically advancement through the final stages of the four-phase process—remains the single most consequential factor for the stock's long-term trajectory.
Beyond earnings, the planned launch of passenger service in Dubai later this year represents a critical proof-of-concept for Joby's business model. The eIPP program's early operational rollout across participating U.S. states could provide incremental revenue visibility. Macroeconomic conditions—particularly interest rate policy and risk appetite for speculative growth equities—will continue to heavily influence price action. With short interest elevated and dilution risk still priced in, any delay in certification or commercial launch timelines could trigger further volatility.
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Momentum Indicator for JOBY turns positive, indicating new upward trend
JOBY saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on August 04, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 93 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 93 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where JOBY's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JOBY just turned positive on July 30, 2026. Looking at past instances where JOBY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JOBY advanced for three days, in of 262 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JOBY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
JOBY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 07, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for JOBY entered a downward trend on August 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JOBY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.933) is normal, around the industry mean (159.533). JOBY has a moderately low P/E Ratio (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (13.840). JOBY's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (0.917). JOBY has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.030). JOBY's P/S Ratio (69.444) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (10.918).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. JOBY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock worse than average.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
Industry AirFreightCouriers