Joby Aviation (JOBY) Stock Price, Chart, Fundamentals & AI Forecast
Joby Aviation Inc is a transportation company developing an all-electric, vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) air taxi for commercial passenger service... Show more
Why Joby Aviation (JOBY) Stock Is Down -18.7% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) shares fell roughly 18.7% over the last 30 days, from a closing price near $7.53 to about $6.12.
- The decline extended a broader downtrend, with the stock down approximately 38.8% over the last quarter and more than 50% year to date.
- A $500 million defense acquisition and a $750 million at-the-market equity program renewed investor concerns about dilution and cash burn.
- Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan each maintained Sell ratings, with price targets of $8 and $7, respectively.
- Operational milestones, including the company's first fully autonomous cross-country flight, have yet to reverse negative sentiment.
Joby Aviation (JOBY) Company Overview and Market Position
Joby Aviation is an air-mobility company developing an all-electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft designed to carry a pilot and up to four passengers. The company is working to launch an aerial ridesharing service in the United States, with additional ambitions in Japan and Europe, and holds commercial agreements with partners including Delta Air Lines, Uber Technologies, and Virgin Atlantic. Joby also maintains a manufacturing collaboration with Toyota and operates the Blade urban air-mobility business, which currently generates the bulk of its revenue.
Investors follow JOBY because it sits at the center of the emerging urban air-mobility market and is in the fifth and final stage of Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) type certification. The stock remains a high-risk, pre-commercial growth story, with its valuation tied more to certification timelines, production capacity, and cash runway than to near-term earnings.
Joby Aviation (JOBY) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, JOBY shares declined from a closing price of $7.53 to about $6.12, a drop of roughly 18.7%. The slide was punctuated by a fresh 52-week low, with the stock trading near $6.25 in early September against a 52-week range that tops out near $19.98.
The pullback is part of a longer decline. Measured over the last quarter, the stock has fallen approximately 38.8%, from around $10.00 to $6.12. This sustained downtrend reflects waning investor patience around the pace of certification and commercialization, even as the company has reported meaningful operational progress.
What Drove JOBY Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
Several factors pressured the shares. In August, Joby announced a roughly $500 million agreement to acquire Resonant Sciences, a defense technology company focused on radio-frequency and mission systems, with about $450 million payable in cash. Simultaneously, the company disclosed a $750 million at-the-market equity program. The combination sharpened investor focus on dilution and capital requirements, and shares fell sharply on the news.
Analyst sentiment also weighed on the stock. Goldman Sachs maintained a Sell rating and trimmed its price target to $8 from $9, citing execution and funding risks, while J.P. Morgan kept a Sell rating with a $7 target. Insider activity added to the cautious tone: a Form 144 filing showed that CEO JoeBen Bevirt sold more than 600,000 shares in September at an average price near $6.19 under a prearranged 10b5-1 plan.
Even a notable milestone failed to lift the shares. In mid-September, Joby completed what it described as the first fully autonomous cross-country flight in the United States, a converted aircraft traveling roughly 3,199 miles without control inputs from the onboard safety pilot. The achievement underscored progress in autonomy and defense logistics, but the stock declined anyway, reflecting persistent concerns about cash burn and the path to profitability.
What Drove JOBY Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The quarterly decline reflects a broader repricing of the eVTOL sector rather than a single event. Funding has become a central theme across the industry, with investors scrutinizing how much capital companies need to reach certification, production, and commercial service. Joby's second-quarter report, released in early August, showed revenue of roughly $38.6 million, nearly all of it from the Blade business, alongside a widening operating loss and raised full-year revenue guidance of $115 million to $125 million.
Investors also weighed the company's growing cash requirements. Management guided to second-half cash use of $385 million to $415 million against roughly $2.3 billion of cash and short-term investments at the end of June. The Resonant Sciences acquisition and the associated equity offering reinforced those dilution concerns, keeping the stock in a downtrend despite continued progress in FAA certification, manufacturing, and the Dallas-Fort Worth flight program.
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JOBY Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Several catalysts will shape JOBY's trajectory. First is FAA type certification, where the company is in the final stage and where any update on timeline or testing progress could move the shares materially. Second is commercialization, including the Dallas-Fort Worth routes flown under a White House-backed pilot program and management's goal of carrying its first paying passengers before the end of 2026.
Investors should also monitor production throughput, with the company aiming to complete at least two additional aircraft in the second half of 2026, and cash-burn trends against management's guidance. The Resonant Sciences integration, the timing and execution of the equity program, and any further insider transactions could influence sentiment. Finally, broader sector dynamics, including funding conditions for peers such as Archer Aviation (ACHR) and Vertical Aerospace (EVTL), may continue to drive valuation multiples across the eVTOL space.
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JOBY's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for JOBY entered a downward trend on September 18, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 258 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 223 of the 258 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 18, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on JOBY as a result. In 75 of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for JOBY turned negative on August 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 81%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JOBY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for JOBY's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 22 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.69% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JOBY advanced for three days, in 208 of 259 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. JOBY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 98 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.442) is normal, around the industry mean (159.394). P/E Ratio (19.850) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.916). JOBY's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.572). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. JOBY's P/S Ratio (47.847) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (7.993).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. JOBY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 66, placing this stock worse than average.
Industry description
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
Industry AirFreightCouriers