KKR is one of the world's largest alternative asset managers, with $723... Show more
KKR & Co. Inc., a leading global investment firm, manages over $700B in assets across private equity, credit, real estate, and infrastructure. As alternative assets gain traction amid volatile markets, KKR's Q4 2025 results—due February 5, 2026—offer critical insights into fee growth, capital raising, and deployment trends. Recent quarters showed record management fees and AUM expansion to $723B in Q3, up 16% YoY, driven by diversified strategies including insurance via Global Atlantic. For investors, this report gauges progress toward 2026 goals amid economic uncertainty, interest rate shifts, and private market dynamics, influencing valuation in a competitive asset management landscape.
Wall Street anticipates KKR's fourth quarter 2025 adjusted EPS at $1.14 (Yahoo Finance, 16 analysts) to $1.21 (Zacks), a modest decline from Q3's $1.41 beat, reflecting normalized performance income. Revenue consensus ranges $1.44B-$1.78B, up ~15% YoY, fueled by management fees projected near $420M and fee-related earnings around $990M.
Key metrics include AUM at $740B (up from Q3 $723B), fee-paying AUM $598.5B, and $26.4B new capital raised. Q3 delivered $1.46B revenues (beat estimates), $1.06B management fees (+19% YoY), and fee-related earnings $1.15/share—records underscoring stable fee momentum. Historically, KKR beats EPS estimates, with Q3 +9% surprise sparking a 6% stock rise. Guidance reaffirms $300B+ fundraising through 2026.
Heading into Q4 earnings, sentiment leans positive on KKR's fundraising prowess ($43B in Q3) and AUM trajectory, though tempered by EPS growth slowdown expectations. Shares have outperformed peers YTD, up amid S&P 500 inclusion, but recent analyst notes flag potential pullback if AUM misses. Historically, beats drive 2-6% gains (e.g., Q3 +6.1%), while in-lines yield flat moves. Risks include muted monetizations or macro pressures on dealmaking; upside from credit/infrastructure inflows.
Post-Q4, attention shifts to KKR's reaffirmed 2026 targets: $4.50+ fee-related earnings per share, $7+ after-tax adjusted net income per share, and $300B+ fundraising, supported by $126B dry powder and perpetual capital growth (42% of AUM). Strategic holdings, including Global Atlantic, eye $350M+ operating earnings in 2026, up from prior guidance.
Investors should track Q4 capital deployed (Q3: strong), monetization pipeline ($17B embedded gains), and management fee trends amid Asia/private credit expansion. Broader dynamics include interest rates impacting credit yields, geopolitical risks to infrastructure, and retail/perpetual capital inflows countering traditional PE slowdowns. Expense discipline and FRE margins (Q3 ~69%) remain vital as AUM scales toward $800B+. Upcoming catalysts: Investor Day updates, deal announcements like recent data center commitments, and Q1 2026 fundraising pace. Balanced growth in diversified assets positions KKR resiliently, though execution on realizations and cost control will shape trajectory amid evolving private markets.
KKR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 31 cases where KKR's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 12 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 20, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KKR as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KKR turned negative on January 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 40 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
KKR moved below its 50-day moving average on January 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for KKR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on January 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KKR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for KKR entered a downward trend on February 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.382) is normal, around the industry mean (4.196). P/E Ratio (44.103) is within average values for comparable stocks, (29.942). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.419) is also within normal values, averaging (2.325). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.080) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.136) is also within normal values, averaging (39.455).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. KKR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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