LI stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Li Auto is one of China's leading new energy vehicle manufacturers... Show more
Li Auto (LI) Stock Analysis: Delivery Softness Meets a New Product Cycle
Key Takeaways
- Li Auto (LI) shares have moved roughly +4.7% over the trailing 30 days to about $11.19, holding a narrow range near their 52-week low.
- The stock remains down about 34% year-to-date, reflecting persistent pressure from China's new energy vehicle (NEV) price competition.
- October deliveries totaled 29,025 vehicles, down 8.8% from September's 31,817, as the company navigates a model transition.
- Gross margin compressed to 11.0% in Q2 2026, and management lowered its long-term gross margin target to 15%–20%.
- New product momentum—the refreshed Li i6, the Li MEGA, and in-house Lianshan battery and motor—is a key near-term catalyst.
- Q3 2026 results and fourth-quarter delivery momentum are the next major checkpoints for investors.
- Explore more about this ticker's Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast on dedicated pages for additional detail.
- For automated trading insights, explore Trending AI Robots.
Current Market Snapshot
Li Auto (LI) shares have traded in a relatively tight band over the past 30 days, edging from a close near $10.69 in early October to about $11.19 in early November—a gain of roughly 4.7%. That stabilization follows a longer slide: the stock has declined from the low-to-mid $13 range in late July to around $11 today, and it remains down approximately 34% year-to-date, sitting within reach of its 52-week low. The recent rangebound action reflects a market weighing steady product rollouts against softer delivery volumes and compressed margins in a fiercely competitive Chinese EV market.
Li Auto (LI) Business Overview and Competitive Position
Li Auto Inc. is a leader in China's new energy vehicle market, focused on premium smart electric SUVs built around extended-range electric vehicle (EREV) technology. The company's portfolio spans the L-series SUVs—including the L6, L7, L8, and L9—alongside battery electric models such as the MEGA MPV and the newer i-series. Li Auto differentiates itself through a family-oriented product design, proprietary intelligent driving systems, and a growing in-house technology stack that now includes its own Lianshan battery and motor. The company also maintains an expanding retail and charging network, with hundreds of stores across China and thousands of super charging stations. Investors track Li Auto closely because its delivery figures, gross margins, and product cadence are viewed as barometers for China's premium NEV segment.
Recent Developments Driving LI
Several developments have shaped investor sentiment in recent weeks. On November 1, Li Auto reported 29,025 vehicle deliveries for October, down 8.8% from September's 31,817 units, while cumulative deliveries reached 1,862,676. The company delivered more than 3,000 units of the new Li MEGA during the month and introduced its proprietary Lianshan Battery and Lianshan Motor, along with a Lianshan Battery Warranty Program.
The 2026 Li i6, launched on October 28, features the Lianshan Battery, the MACH M100 chip, and more than 20 upgrades targeting range, assisted driving, and cabin experience. Li Auto also plans to roll out its OTA 9.2 software update in November. Separately, in mid-October the company announced equity financing for its chip business through Shanghai Mahe Xin Technology Co., supporting its push into in-house semiconductors.
The broader backdrop remains challenging. In Q2 2026, revenue fell 15.1% year over year to about CNY 25.7 billion, with a net loss of roughly CNY 1.7 billion and a gross margin of 11.0%. Analysts responded with tempered views—Goldman Sachs lowered its price target and kept a Neutral rating, while CICC reduced its target—after management guided Q3 deliveries to 95,000–100,000 units and cut its long-term gross margin outlook to 15%–20% from above 20%.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page curates a selection of the platform's AI-driven trading bots, drawn from a broader universe of hundreds of bots trading thousands of tickers. Only the top-performing and most relevant bots are featured in this section, giving traders a focused view of strategies that are currently attracting attention. These bots vary widely in trading approach, timeframe, and performance metrics, so the section serves as a starting point for comparing automated strategies rather than a one-size-fits-all recommendation. Traders interested in supplementing their own analysis with systematic, data-driven signals can explore the page to see which AI robots are trending.
2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch
Looking ahead, Li Auto's path hinges on whether its refreshed lineup can reignite volume growth and stabilize profitability. The upcoming Q3 2026 earnings report and management's delivery guidance for the fourth quarter will be closely watched, particularly after the company guided to a softer-than-expected Q3 revenue range. Investors will also monitor whether the new Li i6, the Li MEGA, and upcoming OTA updates translate into higher orders, and whether in-house battery, motor, and chip initiatives help offset rising component costs. Broader factors—including China's EV price competition, consumer demand, and potential policy support for NEVs—remain key swing factors. Rivals such as NIO and XPeng continue to vie for share, underscoring the competitive intensity Li Auto must navigate.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
LI's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LI turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where LI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LI as a result. In 62 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
LI moved above its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for LI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Following a +8.20% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LI advanced for three days, in 194 of 265 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 148 of 199 cases where LI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 74%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for LI moved out of overbought territory on November 09, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 25 of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 83%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
LI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 93 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.187) is normal, around the industry mean (1.980). P/E Ratio (-2.736) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.300). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.318) is also within normal values, averaging (2.450). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.149) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.802) is also within normal values, averaging (2.648).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a designer, developer, manufacturer and seller premium smart electric SUVs energy vehicles
Industry MotorVehicles