Lockheed Martin is the world's largest defense contractor and has dominated the Western market for high-end fighter aircraft since it won the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program in 2001... Show more
Lockheed Martin is one of the world's largest aerospace and defense contractors, operating across four segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space. Its flagship programs include the F-35 Lightning II fighter jet, PAC-3 and THAAD missile-defense interceptors, GMLRS and PrSM tactical missiles, Sikorsky helicopters, and the Next Generation Interceptor for homeland missile defense. The company's scale, classified and priority-program exposure, and deep relationships with the U.S. Department of Defense and allied governments give it a durable competitive position. Investors follow the stock for its record backlog, free-cash-flow generation, dividend, and sensitivity to global defense budgets and geopolitical conditions.
Over the last 30 days, Lockheed Martin shares climbed approximately 25%, advancing from a close near $509.25 on September 30 to about $636.95 on October 30. Much of the gain was concentrated in late October, when the stock jumped sharply following third-quarter earnings and continued to rally on analyst upgrades.
The broader quarterly trend was more volatile. Entering August, the stock traded in the high $500s to low $600s before sliding to a low near $505 in early October. The subsequent rebound lifted shares to roughly $637, leaving the trailing three-month change at about 9% to 11%, with virtually all of that gain compressed into the final weeks of the period.
The catalyst for the 30-day advance was Lockheed Martin's third-quarter 2026 report, released October 22. Adjusted earnings per share reached $7.97, above the consensus estimate of roughly $7.52, while revenue rose 11% year over year to $20.7 billion, exceeding the roughly $20.5 billion expected. Net earnings climbed 14% to about $1.85 billion.
Management raised its full-year outlook for the second consecutive quarter, lifting 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $30.35–$30.75, revenue to $80 billion–$82 billion, and free cash flow to $7.8 billion–$8.0 billion. The company also reported a record $292 billion backlog, up 27% from the prior quarter, including a $52.5 billion multiyear PAC-3 interceptor award. Missiles and Fire Control led growth with a 24% sales increase, while Aeronautics revenue rose 13% on higher F-35 volume.
Sentiment was further supported by a 10-year framework agreement with the U.S. Department of Defense covering 850 F-35 jets and a global production rate of 156 aircraft annually. Morgan Stanley subsequently upgraded the stock to Overweight and raised its price target to $835 from $690, citing reduced F-35 risk and multiyear demand durability. The shares rose about 7% on the earnings day and added further gains in subsequent sessions even as the broader market lagged.
The trailing quarter reflected a turn in investor sentiment rather than a steady climb. Through much of August and September, the stock trended lower alongside mixed signals on near-term F-35 contract timing and broader market caution, touching a multi-month low in early October. The narrative shifted decisively in late October as strong earnings, a record backlog, and the F-35 framework agreement demonstrated accelerating demand and improved cash generation.
Over the period, defense-sector peers such as RTX and Northrop Grumman also benefited from elevated global defense spending, though Lockheed Martin's larger single-day moves reflected company-specific catalysts. The combination of multiyear missile awards and the F-35 agreement gave investors greater confidence in the durability of near- and long-term revenue.
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Investors should monitor several factors in the months ahead. Lockheed Martin is expected to report fourth-quarter 2026 results in January 2027 and to provide initial 2027 guidance, including its sales forecast, which will be a key figure to watch. Final F-35 pricing, production schedules, and contract awards under the new framework remain subject to congressional authorization and appropriations.
Additional drivers include the pace of missile and interceptor production ramps, free-cash-flow conversion, execution on fixed-price and classified programs, and potential cost pressures tied to F-35 Lot 20, which management noted has exceeded existing contractual funding. Broader themes such as U.S. and allied defense budgets, geopolitical developments, and sector-wide demand for munitions restocking will also shape sentiment. As always, these factors carry uncertainty and are not a basis for specific investment recommendations.
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The 10-day moving average for LMT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LMT as a result. In 39 of 77 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LMT just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where LMT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 20 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.
LMT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.31% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LMT advanced for three days, in 193 of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for LMT moved out of overbought territory on November 04, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 15 of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 36%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 28 of 62 cases where LMT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 45%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LMT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
LMT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for LMT entered a downward trend on October 15, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. LMT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: LMT's P/B Ratio (15.663) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.045). P/E Ratio (21.852) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.993). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.978) is also within normal values, averaging (3.110). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.058) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.616) is also within normal values, averaging (18.367).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of components and systems for aerospace and defense use
Industry AerospaceDefense