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MDT stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

One of the largest medical-device companies, Medtronic develops and manufactures therapeutic medical devices for chronic diseases... Show more

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Sep 28, 2026

Medtronic (MDT) Stock Analysis: Dividend Reliability and Pipeline Momentum Amid the MiniMed Separation

Key Takeaways

  • Medtronic shares traded near $88.64 as of late September 2026, a decline of roughly 2.8% over the trailing 30 days, keeping the stock within a relatively narrow range.
  • The modest pullback reflects ongoing overhang from the MiniMed separation and persistent tariff and currency pressures rather than any deterioration in underlying operating performance.
  • Fiscal 2027 first-quarter results delivered revenue of about $9.76 billion and strong growth in Cardiac Ablation Solutions, prompting Medtronic to raise its full-year organic revenue outlook.
  • Medtronic offers a dividend yield near 3.2% and has raised its payout for 49 consecutive years, reinforcing its defensive profile.
  • Analyst price targets were lifted following the latest quarterly report, though the shares remain below their 2026 highs.

Current Market Snapshot

Medtronic shares have traded in a comparatively subdued range in recent weeks. After closing near $91 in late August 2026, the stock drifted to roughly $88.64, a decline of about 2.8% over the trailing 30 days. This places the move firmly below the threshold that would signal a sharp repricing, underscoring a market that is weighing solid fundamentals against structural uncertainties tied to the company's corporate reorganization.

Broader sentiment in the medical technology sector has remained mixed, with investors balancing resilient procedure volumes against tariff exposure, foreign-exchange headwinds, and China volume-based procurement dynamics. Within that context, Medtronic's defensive characteristics, including its established dividend, have helped limit downside volatility.

Medtronic (MDT) Business Overview and Competitive Position

Medtronic plc is one of the world's largest medical device and healthcare technology companies, with headquarters in Dublin, Ireland, and an operational presence centered in the United States. The company operates across three primary reportable segments—Cardiovascular, Neuroscience, and Medical Surgical—while its diabetes business was established as a standalone public company, MiniMed Group (MMED), through an IPO earlier in 2026.

Medtronic's portfolio spans cardiac rhythm management, structural heart, coronary and peripheral vascular devices, spinal and cranial technologies, neuromodulation, surgical innovations, and acute care monitoring. Competitive strengths include deep clinical franchises, broad geographic reach, and a diversified product line that reduces reliance on any single therapy area. Investors follow the stock closely for its recurring-revenue characteristics, innovation pipeline in areas such as pulsed field ablation and robotic-assisted surgery, and a dividend track record spanning nearly five decades.

Recent Developments Driving MDT

The most significant catalyst in recent weeks has been the progression of the MiniMed separation. On September 14, 2026, Medtronic launched an exchange offer allowing shareholders to swap Medtronic ordinary shares for MiniMed common stock at a 7% discount, a step designed to complete the split-off of its former diabetes business. The move is expected to sharpen Medtronic's focus on its cardiovascular, neuroscience, and surgical portfolios, though it has also introduced near-term complexity into how the market values the shares.

Fundamental results have remained strong. Medtronic reported fiscal 2027 first-quarter revenue of approximately $9.76 billion, up 13.7% year over year, with non-GAAP diluted EPS rising to $1.14. Cardiac Ablation Solutions grew about 88%, while Cardiovascular revenue increased 18.9% on an organic basis. Management raised its full-year organic revenue growth guidance to a range of 7.25% to 7.75% and lifted the lower end of its non-GAAP EPS outlook to $5.94.

Analyst sentiment turned more constructive after the report. Stifel raised its price target to $95 from $80, and Wells Fargo increased its target to $104 from $102 while maintaining an Overweight rating. Medtronic has also continued a targeted acquisition strategy, including its CathWorks transaction tied to an AI-powered coronary diagnostic platform and earlier purchases of Scientia Vascular and SPR Therapeutics, as it builds out high-growth franchises while competing with peers such as Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) and Stryker (SYK).

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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

Looking ahead, several factors are likely to shape Medtronic's share performance. The completion of the MiniMed separation remains a key near-term event, as the final exchange ratio and post-separation capital allocation will clarify the company's go-forward structure. Investors will also monitor whether the rapid expansion in Cardiac Ablation Solutions can be sustained as the pulsed field ablation market matures and competition intensifies.

Macroeconomic considerations include the impact of tariffs on gross margins, foreign-currency translation effects given Medtronic's international footprint, and demand trends in China. On the innovation front, the ramp of the Hugo robotic-assisted surgery platform and continued tuck-in acquisitions represent potential growth drivers, while pricing pressure in areas such as neuroscience and structural heart remains a watch item. As the company advances toward its fiscal 2027 targets, guidance updates and commentary on procedure volumes will be closely followed signals for the stock's trajectory.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

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a Summary for MDT with price predictions
Oct 13, 2026

MDT in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026

MDT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 25 of 44 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MDT as a result. In 48 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MDT just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where MDT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 22 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.

The 50-day moving average for MDT moved above the 200-day moving average on September 17, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +5.12% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MDT advanced for three days, in 170 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for MDT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MDT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.

MDT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for MDT entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 4 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.279) is normal, around the industry mean (10.930). P/E Ratio (22.044) is within average values for comparable stocks, (100.178). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.608) is also within normal values, averaging (11.052). MDT's Dividend Yield (0.032) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.002). P/S Ratio (3.176) is also within normal values, averaging (40.124).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MDT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MDT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.

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published Dividends

MDT is expected to pay dividends on October 16, 2026

Medtronic plc MDT Stock Dividends
A quarterly dividend of $0.72 per share will be paid with a record date of October 16, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of September 25, 2026. The last dividend of $0.72 was paid on July 17. Read more...
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published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT), Medtronic plc (NYSE:MDT), Boston Scientific Corp (NYSE:BSX), Edwards Lifesciences Corp (NYSE:EW).

Industry description

The medical/nursing services includes companies that provide medical-related services such as ambulance services, dialysis centers, respiratory therapy, blood testing and rehabilitation services. DaVita Inc., Chemed Corporation and Guardant Health, Inc. are examples of companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Medical/Nursing Services Industry is 5.59B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 837 to 174.73B. ABT holds the highest valuation in this group at 174.73B. The lowest valued company is DHAI at 837.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Medical/Nursing Services Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15%. PMI experienced the highest price growth at 75%, while NXL experienced the biggest fall at -41%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Medical/Nursing Services Industry was -34%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -19% and the average quarterly volume growth was -26%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 73
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 89
Profit Risk Rating: 95
Seasonality Score: 10 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a provider of medical technology services

Industry MedicalNursingServices

Industry
Medical Specialties
Address
Parkmore Business Park West
Phone
+353 14381700
Employees
95000
Web
https://www.medtronic.com
Medtronic (MDT) Stock Analysis: Dividend Reliability and Pipeline Momentum Amid the MiniMed Separation