MNSO MINISO Group Holding Limited Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

MNSO's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MNSO turned positive on September 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where MNSO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 43 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MNSO's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MNSO as a result. In 64 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

Following a +4.26% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MNSO advanced for three days, in 209 of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

MNSO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 52 cases where MNSO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MNSO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

The Aroon Indicator for MNSO entered a downward trend on September 29, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.701) is normal, around the industry mean (1.755). P/E Ratio (14.519) is within average values for comparable stocks, (241.673). MNSO's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.113). MNSO's Dividend Yield (0.075) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.017). P/S Ratio (0.765) is also within normal values, averaging (1.033).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 8 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MNSO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MNSO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.