MNSO MINISO Group Holding Limited Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MNSO as a result. In 66 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MNSO just turned positive on September 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where MNSO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

The 10-day moving average for MNSO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

Following a +6.65% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MNSO advanced for three days, in 206 of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 120 of 158 cases where MNSO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 76%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MNSO moved out of overbought territory on October 16, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 79%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 38 of 50 cases where MNSO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MNSO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

MNSO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 7 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.286) is normal, around the industry mean (2.438). P/E Ratio (2.437) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.433). MNSO's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.159). Dividend Yield (0.150) settles around the average of (0.094) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.765) is also within normal values, averaging (1.057).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 46 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MNSO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MNSO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.