MENU
+Compare
MSDL
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
Sep 26, 12:30 PM (EDT)
Price
$16.88
Change
-$0.08 (-0.47%)
Capitalization
1.47B

MSDL Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund is a fund whose investment objective is to achieve attractive risk-adjusted returns via current income and to a lesser extent, capital appreciation by investing predominantly in directly originated senior secured term loans issued by U... Show more

MSDL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
Show more...
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for MSDL with price predictions
Sep 25, 2025

MSDL's RSI Indicator stays in oversold zone for 2 days

It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSDL advanced for three days, in of 74 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MSDL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 15, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MSDL as a result. In of 35 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MSDL turned negative on September 16, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 17 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 17 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSDL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for MSDL entered a downward trend on August 20, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.823) is normal, around the industry mean (6.399). P/E Ratio (8.788) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.977). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.616). Dividend Yield (0.118) settles around the average of (0.078) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.703) is also within normal values, averaging (19.192).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MSDL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MSDL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock worse than average.

View a ticker or compare two or three
MSDL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
Show more...
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

MSDL is expected to report earnings to rise 26.83% to 51 cents per share on November 06

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund MSDL Stock Earnings Reports
Q3'25
Est.
$0.52
Q2'25
Missed
by $0.12
Q1'25
Missed
by $0.21
Q4'24
Missed
by $0.02
Q3'24
Missed
by $0.01
The last earnings report on August 07 showed earnings per share of 40 cents, missing the estimate of 52 cents. With 82.69K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 1.47B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

MSDL is expected to pay dividends on October 24, 2025

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund MSDL Stock Dividends
A dividend of $0.50 per share will be paid with a record date of October 24, 2025, and an ex-dividend date of September 30, 2025. The last dividend of $0.50 was paid on July 25. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Industry InvestmentManagers

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
1585 Broadway
Phone
+1 212 761-4000
Employees
N/A
Web
https://www.msdl.com
Interesting Tickers
1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
1 Day
MFs / NAMEPrice $Chg $Chg %
USLCX44.64N/A
N/A
JHancock U.S. Global Leaders Growth C
AUICX35.79N/A
N/A
AB Equity Income C
TEDRX32.01N/A
N/A
Franklin Mutual Global Discovery R
GEMWX14.41N/A
N/A
Goldman Sachs Emerging Mkt Eq ex. Chn R6
RYVPX8.45-0.06
-0.71%
Royce Smaller-Companies Growth Svc

MSDL and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MSDL has been loosely correlated with BXSL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MSDL jumps, then BXSL could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MSDL
1D Price
Change %
MSDL100%
+0.30%
BXSL - MSDL
65%
Loosely correlated
+0.89%
OBDC - MSDL
64%
Loosely correlated
-0.07%
BCSF - MSDL
61%
Loosely correlated
+0.14%
CSWC - MSDL
61%
Loosely correlated
+0.40%
GSBD - MSDL
60%
Loosely correlated
-0.37%
More

Groups containing MSDL

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MSDL
1D Price
Change %
MSDL100%
+0.30%
MSDL
(2 stocks)
93%
Closely correlated
-0.59%
Investment Managers
(264 stocks)
53%
Loosely correlated
-0.48%