MSDL Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

MSDL in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on May 09, 2025

MSDL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 9 cases where MSDL's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 12, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MSDL as a result. In of 31 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MSDL just turned positive on May 12, 2025. Looking at past instances where MSDL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 13 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for MSDL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 20, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 3 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSDL advanced for three days, in of 59 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 17 cases where MSDL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MSDL moved below its 50-day moving average on May 21, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSDL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.114) is normal, around the industry mean (2.731). P/E Ratio (8.239) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.281). MSDL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.172). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.071) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.396) is also within normal values, averaging (11.847).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MSDL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MSDL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock worse than average.