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MSI stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Motorola Solutions is a leading provider of communications and analytics, primarily serving public safety departments as well as schools, hospitals, and businesses... Show more

A.I.Advisor
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 05, 2026

Motorola Solutions (MSI) Stock Analysis: Record Backlog and Public-Safety Demand Anchor Growth

Key Takeaways

  • Motorola Solutions shares traded near $447 in early October 2026, roughly 6.6% below their level 30 days earlier, following a pullback from early-September highs.
  • Second-quarter 2026 revenue rose 13% year over year to $3.13 billion, while non-GAAP earnings per share climbed 24% to $4.41, exceeding consensus estimates.
  • A record backlog of $15.6 billion, up 11% year over year, provides multiyear revenue visibility across mission-critical communications, video, and software.
  • Management again raised its full-year 2026 outlook to approximately $12.98 billion in revenue and non-GAAP EPS of $17.62 to $17.72.
  • Growth is anchored by public-safety land mobile radio, video security, command center software, and defense-linked MANET and counter-drone capabilities.

Current Market Snapshot

Motorola Solutions stock has exhibited a defensive-growth profile through 2026, supported by resilient government and public-safety budgets. After surging roughly 8% following its August earnings report, the shares reached levels above $490 in early September before consolidating. The latest available close near $447 represented a decline of about 6.6% over the trailing 30 days, a move that reflects profit-taking and broader market rotation rather than a deterioration in underlying fundamentals. The company's recurring software and services revenue, combined with a deep order book, has helped the stock maintain its position among the steadier performers in the communications-equipment sector.

Motorola Solutions (MSI) Business Overview and Competitive Position

Motorola Solutions is a global provider of mission-critical communications and public-safety technology. The company supplies two-way land mobile radio (LMR) systems, next-generation 911 and command center software, video security and access control solutions, body cameras, and mobile video systems used primarily by government agencies, first responders, and critical-infrastructure operators. Through acquisitions such as Silvus Technologies, which provides mobile ad hoc networking (MANET) technology, and D-Fend Solutions, a counter-drone specialist, the company has extended its reach into defense and security applications. Its competitive strengths include a large installed base of P25 networks, deep customer relationships, and a growing mix of high-margin recurring software and services revenue.

Recent Developments Driving MSI

Motorola Solutions delivered broad-based growth in its second quarter ended July 4, 2026. Net sales increased 13% to $3.13 billion, with Products and Systems Integration revenue up 15% and Software and Services revenue up 10%. Non-GAAP operating margin expanded to 32.9%, helped by a $60 million benefit from tariff refunds under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act; excluding that item, margin still expanded by roughly 140 basis points despite elevated memory and component costs tied to AI-driven demand.

Record second-quarter orders lifted backlog to $15.6 billion, up 11% year over year, while management raised full-year guidance for the second consecutive quarter. The company also entered into a definitive agreement to acquire counter-drone provider D-Fend Solutions for $1.5 billion and, in September 2026, announced a $2 billion increase to its share repurchase program, bringing the total authorization since 2011 to $20 billion. Ongoing Hytera trade-secret litigation continues to generate periodic cash recoveries, with $60 million received in the first half of 2026.

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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

Motorola Solutions enters the second half of 2026 with substantial revenue visibility. Management guided for roughly 8% third-quarter revenue growth and reiterated expectations for double-digit product growth, supported by continued public-safety modernization and next-generation infrastructure demand. Investors will be watching several factors: the pace of backlog conversion into revenue, the integration and scaling of Silvus and D-Fend, and the trajectory of memory and component costs. Broader themes include U.S. federal modernization initiatives, the multiyear D-Series infrastructure refresh cycle, and the company's ability to sustain margin expansion while managing supply-chain volatility and acquisition-related expenses.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for MSI with price predictions
Oct 13, 2026

Momentum Indicator for MSI turns positive, indicating new upward trend

MSI saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 53 of the 80 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 66%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +1.09% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSI advanced for three days, in 187 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

MSI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

MSI moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MSI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 45%.

The Aroon Indicator for MSI entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MSI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MSI's P/B Ratio (28.011) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.894). P/E Ratio (35.625) is within average values for comparable stocks, (107.419). MSI's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.988) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.778). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.006) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.325) is also within normal values, averaging (11.937).

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

MSI is expected to pay dividends on October 15, 2026

Motorola Solutions MSI Stock Dividends
A dividend of $1.21 per share will be paid with a record date of October 15, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of September 16, 2026. The last dividend of $1.21 was paid on July 15. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO), Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (NYSE:HPE), Lumentum Holdings (NASDAQ:LITE), Nokia Corp (NYSE:NOK), Ciena Corp (NYSE:CIEN), Ericsson (NASDAQ:ERIC).

Industry description

The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Telecommunications Equipment Industry is 19.96B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.88K to 420.83B. CSCO holds the highest valuation in this group at 420.83B. The lowest valued company is DZSI at 3.88K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Telecommunications Equipment Industry was -6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5%. AUDC experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while ASTS experienced the biggest fall at -25%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Telecommunications Equipment Industry was 6%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 7% and the average quarterly volume growth was 1%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
Motorola Solutions (MSI) Stock Analysis: Record Backlog and Public-Safety Demand Anchor Growth