Why T-Rex 2X Inverse MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTZ) Is Up +31% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- MSTZ gained roughly +31% over the last 30 days, rising from about $2.49 to around $3.27 as the underlying stock it inverts against declined.
- Over the last quarter, the fund is down about -72%, reflecting a sharp rally in its reference stock earlier in the period.
- MSTZ seeks -2x daily inverse exposure to MicroStrategy (MSTR), making it a leveraged, single-stock trading tool rather than a diversified equity fund.
- The fund's recent rebound tracked a pullback in MSTR, a Bitcoin treasury company whose share price is closely tied to Bitcoin.
- Leveraged single-stock ETFs reset exposure daily, so returns over weeks and months diverge from a simple -2x of the underlying due to compounding.
- You can explore additional Price Targets and a detailed Forecast for MSTZ on dedicated pages.
- Discover related automated strategies by exploring Trending AI Robots.
T-Rex 2X Inverse MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTZ) Overview and Portfolio Exposure
The T-Rex 2X Inverse MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTZ) is a leveraged, inverse single-stock exchange-traded fund that seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, equal to 200% of the inverse of the daily performance of MicroStrategy common stock. Unlike conventional ETFs that track a diversified index, MSTZ is a tactical, non-diversified product built for short-term traders seeking to profit from daily declines in a single company.
To achieve this objective, the fund primarily uses total return swap agreements with institutional counterparties, with the remainder of assets held in cash and pledged collateral. Its portfolio is therefore composed of swap positions and cash rather than a basket of equities. The fund carries a net expense ratio of 1.05% and manages roughly $80 million in assets under management (AUM), defined as the total market value of assets the fund oversees.
Because MSTZ is tied to a single stock rather than a sector, its behavior is almost entirely explained by the daily price action of MicroStrategy (MSTR), a business-intelligence software company that has become one of the world's largest corporate holders of Bitcoin.
T-Rex 2X Inverse MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTZ) Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, MSTZ advanced roughly +31%, climbing from a closing price near $2.49 to approximately $3.27. The move was largely directional rather than a single-day spike, driven by a steady retreat in MSTR shares from about $160 to roughly $131 during the same window.
The longer-term picture is far more volatile. Over the last quarter, MSTZ has declined roughly -72%, tumbling from about $11.53 to $3.27. That decline reflects a powerful rally in MSTR during August and September, when the stock surged from around $123 to above $168 in a matter of weeks. The contrast between the 30-day rebound and the quarterly drawdown underscores how rapidly leveraged inverse products can reverse course.
What Drove MSTZ Price in the Last 30 Days
MSTZ's recent gain is a direct function of weakness in MicroStrategy. As a -2x daily inverse fund, MSTZ rises when MSTR falls, and MSTR's share price is heavily correlated with Bitcoin, given its substantial Bitcoin treasury holdings. Over the past month, MSTR retreated roughly -18%, providing the catalyst for MSTZ's roughly +31% advance.
The relationship is not perfectly linear, however. Because the fund resets its leverage exposure every trading day, the compounding of daily returns and volatility drag mean a -18% decline in MSTR does not translate into an exact +36% gain in MSTZ. Broader risk appetite, cryptocurrency sentiment, and institutional positioning in leveraged trading products also influenced intraday swings, which remained elevated throughout the period.
What Drove MSTZ Performance Over the Last Quarter
MSTZ's roughly -72% quarterly decline mirrors a sustained advance in MSTR during the summer and early autumn. The underlying stock rallied sharply in mid-August and again in mid-to-late September, including a single-session move of more than +16% on one day, which compounded into severe losses for an inverse leveraged fund. Bitcoin's strength, rising optimism around corporate Bitcoin accumulation, and active trading in single-stock leveraged ETFs all contributed to the headwind.
This period illustrates the core risk of inverse leveraged funds: even a temporary rally in the reference asset can produce outsized, compounding losses that are difficult to recover. The fund's volatility also attracted significant trading volume, reflecting its use as a short-term hedging and speculation vehicle rather than a buy-and-hold position.
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MSTZ ETF Outlook: What Investors Should Watch Next
The outlook for MSTZ is inseparable from the outlook for MSTR and, by extension, Bitcoin. Investors should monitor cryptocurrency price trends, corporate Bitcoin accumulation strategies, and any changes in regulatory or accounting treatment of digital assets, all of which influence MSTR's share price. Interest-rate expectations, inflation data, and overall risk appetite will also shape sentiment toward high-beta, Bitcoin-linked equities.
From a structural perspective, the fund's daily reset and leverage mechanics introduce decay that can erode value during choppy or range-bound markets, even if the reference stock ultimately moves in the intended direction. Elevated volatility, fund flows into leveraged products, and counterparty dynamics tied to the swap-based structure are additional factors to track. As with all leveraged inverse products, MSTZ is designed for short holding periods and requires active monitoring rather than passive positioning.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
MSTZ's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for MSTZ moved out of oversold territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 13 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 13 of the 13 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MSTZ as a result. In 30 of 35 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
MSTZ moved above its 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MSTZ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 5 of 5 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Following a +12.92% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSTZ advanced for three days, in 125 of 136 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 71 of 72 cases where MSTZ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSTZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
MSTZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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