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MTN stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Vail Resorts Inc Bhd is a resorts and casinos company that operates mountain resorts and ski areas... Show more

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Vail Resorts (MTN) Stock Analysis: Earnings Watch Amid Weather-Driven Season

Key Takeaways

  • Vail Resorts faces a difficult fiscal 2026 ski season marked by historically poor weather and reduced skier visits across North American resorts.
  • The company lowered its full-year guidance in March, citing visitation declines of approximately 12-15% year-over-year.
  • Analysts have trimmed price targets in recent months, with consensus leaning toward a Hold rating and expectations for lower third-quarter earnings.
  • Activist interest in Park City Mountain Resort has drawn investor attention and prompted modest stock rebounds.
  • Upcoming Q3 results on June 8 will provide key insights into pass sales trends and operational adjustments.

Current Market Snapshot

In recent weeks, Vail Resorts stock has traded in a range influenced by seasonal factors and anticipation surrounding its upcoming earnings report. Broader market sentiment toward leisure and travel stocks has remained cautious amid macroeconomic uncertainties, while the company’s results reflect the impact of variable winter conditions on its core resort operations. Investors have monitored updates on pass sales and visitation metrics, with the stock showing resilience at times amid external pressures.

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Recent Developments Driving MTN Price Action

Several events over the past month shaped investor views on Vail Resorts. On April 23, the company released season-to-date North American ski metrics through mid-April, reporting a 14.9% decline in skier visits and a 5.6% drop in lift revenue compared with the prior year. Management attributed the shortfall primarily to record-low snowfall and unfavorable temperatures in key western markets. These figures followed an earlier guidance reduction announced with second-quarter results in early March, when net income expectations for fiscal 2026 were lowered to a range of $144 million to $190 million from the previous $201 million to $276 million outlook.

Analyst reactions included a price target reduction by Truist Securities on April 23, maintaining a Buy rating but lowering the target from $217 to $212. Other firms had previously adjusted estimates downward, contributing to a consensus rating near Hold and an average 12-month price target in the mid-$160s. The stock responded with modest volatility as investors weighed the near-term earnings pressure against longer-term pass model stability.

Additional developments included ongoing spring pass sales for the 2026-27 season, which showed a moderate decline in units and dollars through the initial April deadline. Management noted that more complete data would arrive with third-quarter results. On the operational side, Vail continued initiatives such as expanding rental experiences and summer offerings tied to Epic Pass ownership.

Separately, public comments from Utah billionaire Matthew Prince regarding interest in acquiring Park City Mountain Resort generated headlines in early June, leading to a short-term positive stock reaction. The combination of weather-related headwinds, lowered guidance, and external interest created a mixed sentiment backdrop heading into the June 8 earnings release.

2026 Outlook and Key Factors to Monitor

Looking ahead to the remainder of 2026, investors will track the company’s ability to adapt its Epic Pass model to variable weather patterns and evolving consumer demand. Key areas include the pace of pass renewals and pricing adjustments for the upcoming winter season, cost management through the ongoing resource efficiency transformation, and progress on summer revenue diversification at resort properties. Industry-wide factors such as climate variability, competition from regional operators, and broader economic influences on discretionary travel spending will also warrant attention. Regulatory or land-use considerations at major properties, along with potential capital allocation decisions including share repurchases or dividends, represent additional elements for ongoing evaluation.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for MTN with price predictions
Jun 22, 2026

MTN in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on May 29, 2026

The 10-day moving average for MTN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 18, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MTN as a result. In of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MTN just turned positive on June 18, 2026. Looking at past instances where MTN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MTN moved above its 50-day moving average on May 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTN advanced for three days, in of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 145 cases where MTN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MTN moved out of overbought territory on June 09, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 24 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 60 cases where MTN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MTN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 18, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.149) is normal, around the industry mean (8.054). P/E Ratio (30.532) is within average values for comparable stocks, (64.296). MTN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.755). MTN's Dividend Yield (0.063) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.023). P/S Ratio (1.801) is also within normal values, averaging (1.204).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MTN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MTN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

MTN is expected to pay dividends on July 09, 2026

Vail Resorts MTN Stock Dividends
A dividend of $2.22 per share will be paid with a record date of July 09, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of June 25, 2026. The last dividend of $2.22 was paid on April 09. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Las Vegas Sands Corp (NYSE:LVS), MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM), Wynn Resorts Limited (NASDAQ:WYNN), Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (NASDAQ:MLCO).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate and manage one or more of the following: lodging facilities (e.g. hotels and motels), resorts (e.g. ski resorts), spas, cruise ships and timeshare facilities. Marriott International, Inc., Carnival Corporation, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. are some of the biggest names in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines Industry is 5.36B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.24M to 31.67B. LVS holds the highest valuation in this group at 31.67B. The lowest valued company is SOST at 1.24M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 8%, and the average quarterly price growth was 5%. MTN experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while FLL experienced the biggest fall at -10%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines Industry was -14%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -4% and the average quarterly volume growth was 129%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 62
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 47
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: 27 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a company which owns and operates resorts

Industry HotelsResortsCruiselines

Profile
Details
Industry
Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines
Address
390 Interlocken Crescent
Phone
+1 303 404-1800
Employees
7200
Web
https://www.vailresorts.com
Vail Resorts (MTN) Stock Analysis: Earnings Watch Amid Weather-Driven Season