MTN Vail Resorts Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

MTN in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on August 27, 2026

MTN moved below its 50-day moving average on August 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 50 of 61 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The 10-day moving average for MTN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

The Aroon Indicator for MTN entered a downward trend on September 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MTN's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 16 of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MTN as a result. In 56 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MTN just turned positive on September 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where MTN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

Following a +5.38% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTN advanced for three days, in 176 of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

MTN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 8 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.025) is normal, around the industry mean (25.373). P/E Ratio (30.129) is within average values for comparable stocks, (66.979). MTN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.730) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.791). MTN's Dividend Yield (0.064) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.011). P/S Ratio (1.782) is also within normal values, averaging (1.049).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MTN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MTN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.