NDLS stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Noodles & Co is a restaurant concept offering lunch and dinner within the fast-casual segment of the restaurant industry... Show more
Why Noodles & Company (NDLS) Is Up +42% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- NDLS stock surged approximately +42% over the past 30 days, driven primarily by a strong Q4 2025 earnings report showing 6.6% system-wide comparable sales growth and positive 2026 guidance.
- Over the past quarter, the stock rose about +44%, reflecting recovery from earlier delisting concerns addressed by a reverse stock split and sales momentum.
- Key drivers include menu innovations, seven straight months of positive comparable sales, and Q1 2026 same-store sales (SSS) already exceeding 9%.
- Ongoing restaurant closures (30-35 planned for 2026) aim to boost average unit volumes but pose short-term challenges.
- YTD performance stands at over +50%, outperforming broader market trends amid casual dining sector volatility.
Noodles & Company (NDLS) Company Overview and Market Position
Noodles & Company operates fast-casual restaurants specializing in noodle and pasta dishes, soups, salads, and appetizers across the United States. The company follows a model focused on fresh, made-to-order meals with options for dine-in, takeout, and delivery, emphasizing menu innovation and operational efficiency. In the competitive casual dining industry, NDLS differentiates through craveable limited-time offerings like ramen and stroganoff, competing with chains like Panera and Chipotle. Recent fundamentals, including improving comparable sales and cost controls, underpin the stock's upward price movement by signaling a potential turnaround despite store rationalization efforts.
Noodles & Company (NDLS) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, NDLS stock climbed +42%, shifting from around $6.00 in early March to approximately $8.53 by early April. The movement was volatile and trend-driven, highlighted by a 55% single-day surge on March 26 following earnings, followed by some consolidation amid profit-taking.
For the past quarter, the stock advanced +44%, from roughly $6.00 in early January to the current level. Performance featured steady gains post a 1-for-8 reverse stock split in mid-February, with heightened volatility around earnings but an overall upward trajectory aligned with operational improvements.
What Drove NDLS Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The primary catalyst was Noodles & Company's Q4 2025 earnings release on March 25, which reported total revenue of $122.8 million (up 0.8%) and system-wide comparable sales growth of 6.6%, including 7.3% at company-owned locations. Despite a net loss of $1.16 per share (impacted by impairment charges from closures), the results beat expectations on key metrics, igniting a 21-55% intraday pop the next day. Positive Q1 2026 SSS momentum over 9% and full-year guidance for 6-9% growth and $30-35 million in adjusted EBITDA further boosted sentiment. New menu items like Chili Garlic Ramen and returning favorites sustained traffic, while investor focus on sales deleveraging from closures supported the rally. Broader casual dining recovery amid easing inflation also contributed positively.
What Drove NDLS Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The quarter's +44% gain stemmed from sustained sales recovery and strategic actions averting Nasdaq delisting. Early January preliminary Q4 results hinted at 6.6% comp growth, building anticipation. The February 18 1-for-8 reverse stock split stabilized compliance after a delisting notice, shifting shares from sub-$1 pre-split levels to post-split trading around $4-6. Cumulative menu transformations, including Delicious Duos bundles and LTOs (limited-time offers), drove seven consecutive months of 4%+ comps. Institutional interest, like Galloway Capital's stake increase, added support. Macro tailwinds such as moderating food costs and strong off-premise demand outweighed closure headwinds, with total restaurants at 423 after 33 net cuts in 2025. These factors combined for robust quarterly momentum.
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NDLS Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Investors should monitor Q1 2026 earnings for confirmation of over 9% SSS momentum and progress toward $478-493 million revenue guidance. Continued execution on menu innovations and LTOs will be key amid competitive dining pressures. Track restaurant portfolio optimization, including 30-35 planned closures and their impact on average unit volumes. Macro factors like food cost inflation, consumer spending in casual dining, and interest rates affecting leverage matter. Strategic developments, such as potential M&A (mergers and acquisitions) from prior reviews or activist investor moves, could sway sentiment. Risks include execution on deleveraging targets and broader sector slowdowns.
Disclaimer
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Momentum Indicator for NDLS turns positive, indicating new upward trend
NDLS saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on May 29, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 94 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 94 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NDLS just turned positive on June 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where NDLS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NDLS advanced for three days, in of 236 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NDLS moved out of overbought territory on May 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 25 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 54 cases where NDLS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NDLS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for NDLS entered a downward trend on June 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NDLS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NDLS's P/B Ratio (15.175) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.727). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (38.655). NDLS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.623). NDLS has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.030). P/S Ratio (0.157) is also within normal values, averaging (1.880).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NDLS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
an operator of franchise restaurants
Industry Restaurants