Netflix (NFLX) Stock Price, Chart, Company Profile & AI Analysis
Netflix’s relatively simple business model involves only one business, its streaming service... Show more
Why Netflix (NFLX) Is Down -11% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- NFLX stock declined -11% over the last 30 days amid post-earnings selloff and cautious Q2 guidance.
- Over the past quarter, shares are up +7% from early February levels, recovering from acquisition-related lows.
- Q1 earnings beat boosted price temporarily to $108 before drop; $25B buyback announced.
- Termination of Warner Bros. deal freed capital but introduced short-term volatility.
- Strong ad-tier growth and subscriber engagement remain key positives amid competition.
Netflix (NFLX) Company Overview and Market Position
Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) is the leading global streaming entertainment service, offering a vast library of films, TV series, documentaries, and original content. Its core business model relies on subscription revenue from over 325 million paid memberships worldwide, supplemented by rapidly growing advertising revenue from its ad-supported tier. Operating in the highly competitive media and entertainment industry, Netflix holds a dominant position with superior content investment, pricing power, and international expansion. These fundamentals, including robust free cash flow generation and content slate strength, underpin resilience despite recent price movement tied to guidance and M&A (mergers and acquisitions) developments.
Netflix (NFLX) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, NFLX stock fell -11%, closing around $88.25 from approximately $99.39 on April 8. The movement was volatile and trend-driven downward, peaking near $108 post-Q1 earnings on April 16 before a sharp ~9% drop the next day and further declines to recent lows around $87.
For the past quarter, shares rose +7% from $82.20 around early February to the current level. Performance featured recovery from February lows near $76 amid acquisition uncertainty, a rally to April highs, then pullback, exhibiting range-bound volatility overall.
What Drove NFLX Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The primary catalyst was Netflix's Q1 2026 earnings on April 16, which beat expectations with $12.25 billion revenue (up 16% YoY) and $1.23 EPS, fueled by membership growth, price hikes, and a $2.8 billion termination fee from the failed Warner Bros. deal. Shares surged initially to $107.79 but plunged ~9% the next day on cautious Q2 guidance ($0.78 EPS below consensus $0.84) and news of co-founder Reed Hastings stepping down as board chair. A subsequent $25 billion share buyback announcement provided some support, but broader market sentiment and profit-taking drove the net decline. Analyst caution on shifting from subscriber growth to monetization amid competition added pressure.
What Drove NFLX Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The quarter's +7% gain reflected recovery from early lows, primarily after Netflix walked away from its $83 billion Warner Bros. acquisition bid on February 26, citing unfavorable terms against rival Paramount Skydance. Shares had dipped to $75.86 in mid-February amid deal uncertainty and regulatory concerns, but termination freed up capital, enabling focus on core streaming and the $2.8 billion fee boost. Q1 results highlighted ad revenue doubling trajectory to $3 billion annually, pricing power, and live content engagement. Macro factors like stabilizing consumer demand and sector rotation supported the rebound, though competition from DIS and WBD weighed on sentiment. Institutional buying post-deal exit amplified the uptrend.
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NFLX Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Investors should monitor Q2 earnings for ad-tier adoption progress and operating margin expansion toward 31.5%. Upcoming content slate, including live sports and originals like Bridgerton S4, could drive engagement. Macro conditions such as interest rates impacting consumer spending and streaming bundling trends merit attention. Regulatory scrutiny on M&A and competitive moves by DIS or AMZN pose risks, while buyback execution offers support. Shifts in institutional ownership and analyst updates on valuation (current P/E ~43) will influence sentiment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
NFLX sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
NFLX saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on April 20, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NFLX as a result. In of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
NFLX moved below its 50-day moving average on April 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NFLX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NFLX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for NFLX entered a downward trend on May 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NFLX's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 17 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NFLX advanced for three days, in of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
NFLX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NFLX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NFLX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.779) is normal, around the industry mean (17.105). P/E Ratio (28.071) is within average values for comparable stocks, (71.018). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.269) is also within normal values, averaging (13.502). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.026) is also within normal values, averaging (113.840).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a provider of online movie rental subscription services
Industry MoviesEntertainment