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NFLX
Stock ticker:
NASDAQ
AS OF
Jun 23 closing price
Price
$181.71
Change
+$2.82 (+1.58%)
Capitalization
80.73B

NFLX Netflix Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

a provider of online movie rental subscription services
AI
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for AAPL with price predictions
12:00 AM EDT Jun 23, 2022

Aroon Indicator for NFLX shows an upward move is likely

NFLX's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on June 17, 2022. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 274 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 215 of the 274 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 78%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 60 cases where NFLX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NFLX advanced for three days, in of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NFLX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 10, 2022. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NFLX as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NFLX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NFLX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.602) is normal, around the industry mean (4.564). P/E Ratio (16.502) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.999). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.343) is also within normal values, averaging (3.564). NFLX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.044). P/S Ratio (2.717) is also within normal values, averaging (98.560).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NFLX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.

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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

NFLX is expected to report earnings to fall 15.01% to $3.00 per share on July 19

Netflix NFLX Stock Earnings Reports
Q2'22
Est.
$3.00
Q1'22
Beat
by $0.63
Q4'21
Beat
by $0.50
Q3'21
Beat
by $0.62
Q2'21
Missed
by $0.21
The last earnings report on April 19 showed earnings per share of $3.53, beating the estimate of $2.90. With 9.44M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 80.73B.
AI
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of online movie rental subscription services

Industry MoviesEntertainment

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Cable Or Satellite TV
Address
100 Winchester Circle
Phone
+1 408 540-3700
Employees
11300
Web
https://www.netflix.com

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NFLX and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NFLX has been loosely correlated with DIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NFLX jumps, then DIS could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To NFLX
1D Price
Change %
NFLX100%
+1.58%
DIS - NFLX
54%
Loosely correlated
+0.86%
ROKU - NFLX
46%
Loosely correlated
+5.31%
WMG - NFLX
40%
Loosely correlated
-0.04%
HUYA - NFLX
36%
Loosely correlated
+2.35%
HOFV - NFLX
33%
Poorly correlated
+2.98%
More