NLY Annaly Capital Management Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

NLY in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on January 16, 2025

NLY moved above its 50-day moving average on January 16, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 50 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NLY just turned positive on January 15, 2025. Looking at past instances where NLY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for NLY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 23, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NLY advanced for three days, in of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 266 cases where NLY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 22 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NLY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

NLY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 19, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.000) is normal, around the industry mean (1.987). P/E Ratio (5.033) is within average values for comparable stocks, (62.577). NLY's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (32.030) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (7.058). NLY has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.134) as compared to the industry average of (0.068). P/S Ratio (4.156) is also within normal values, averaging (7.119).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NLY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NLY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.