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NOA
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NOA stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

North American Construction Group Ltd is Canada's heavy civil construction and mining contractor provider... Show more

NOA
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NOA Stock Climbs 5% on $115M Acquisition: 5 AI Signals Forecasting 45% Rally to $22 by 2026

Introduction

North American Construction Group Ltd. (NYSE/TSX: NOA), a heavy equipment mining contractor, rallied 5% to $15.60 on January 16, 2026, after announcing a $115M acquisition of Iron Mine Contracting (IMC) in Western Australia—valued at 2.5x 2026 EBITDA and 20% EPS accretive upon Q1 close. Q3 2025 EPS beat at $0.49 (+6.52% surprise), revenue $314M, with Australia Heavy Equipment up 26% to $188.5M, free cash $45.7M, and quarterly dividend $0.12. Amid oil/mining rotation, NOA's debt-free pivot draws trader fire.

Key Takeaways

  • IMC deal $115M adds Australian scale, 20% 2026 EPS boost; backlog strength intact.​

  • Q3 EPS $0.49 beat by 6.52%, revenue $314M; Australia revenue +26%.

  • Targets C$23.25 (~$17 USD, +33% upside), Strong Buy consensus.

  • $185M cash, net debt $904M manageable; dividend yield 2.34%.

  • Beta 1.06, recent MACD positive signals upward momentum.

Global Market Context

Mining/construction surges on Trump's infra bill and commodity rebound, with OPEC+ oil ~$75 and copper/gold rallies aiding NOA's ops. Today's sparks: IMC acquisition amid China stimulus and Aussie mining capex; Fed hold counters inflation. Geopolitics boosts resource demand, though debt/equity 193% risks in downturns—NOA's Australia expansion hedges Canada softness.​

Tickeron AI Performance & Innovation

Tickeron excels in volatile miners like NOA via AI Trading (Signal Agents) corridor models spotting acquisition breakouts. AI Trading (Virtual Agents) unleash single/double/multi-agents for momentum/price action, nailing 5% pops. AI Trading (Brokerage Agents) power inverse ETFs, day/swing trades, and 2-ETF/3-ETF strategies (NOA + XME/GDX) for superior infra-mining alpha, 25%+ edges in backtests.

AI-Based Trading Outlook

Tickeron AI locks onto NOA's building trend (MACD>0, AO>0) and moderate volatility (beta 1.06), prioritizing momentum swings post-deal. Multi-agents target $16–17 breaks, corridors for 7–10% moves on EPS beats. Risk-optimized: 3-ETF hedges balance debt exposure, favoring longs in bullish radar (80% Feb win rate).​

Conclusion & AI Forecast

NOA's strategic buy and earnings resilience spotlight growth, with Tickeron AI sharpening trader plays. Through 2026, $19–$22 (+22–41% from $15.60), via EPS accretion, mining capex, dividends; declines to $13 on commodity slumps or debt woes. AI odds: 70% upside, buy momentum setups.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for NOA with price predictions
Jun 22, 2026

NOA sees its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from oversold territory

On June 22, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for NOA moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 59 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 59 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NOA advanced for three days, in of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 26, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NOA as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NOA turned negative on May 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

NOA moved below its 50-day moving average on May 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for NOA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NOA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for NOA entered a downward trend on June 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.100) is normal, around the industry mean (3.708). P/E Ratio (17.177) is within average values for comparable stocks, (125.401). NOA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.684). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.018) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.490) is also within normal values, averaging (2.192).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NOA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NOA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

NOA paid dividends on January 07, 2022

North American Construction Group Ltd NOA Stock Dividends
А quarterly dividend of $0.03 per share was paid with a record date of January 07, 2022, and an ex-dividend date of November 29, 2021. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are SLB Limited (NYSE:SLB), Halliburton Company (NYSE:HAL).

Industry description

The oilfield services/equipment industry is involved in providing various equipment and services to oil and natural gas producers. These companies rent drilling rigs and/or provide services to build and maintain oil and gas wells. The performance of this industry is dependent on demand for oil and natural gas, which in turn is often driven by macroeconomic conditions or business cycles. Schlumberger NV, Halliburton Company, and Baker Hughes are some of the biggest oilfield services companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oilfield Services/Equipment Industry is 5.99B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 43.89 to 71.69B. SLB holds the highest valuation in this group at 71.69B. The lowest valued company is KEGX at 43.89.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oilfield Services/Equipment Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 119%. NINE experienced the highest price growth at 20%, while KLXE experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oilfield Services/Equipment Industry was 14%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 34% and the average quarterly volume growth was 316%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 36
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 75
Profit Risk Rating: 65
Seasonality Score: -39 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a provider of mining and heavy construction services

Industry OilfieldServicesEquipment

Profile
Details
Industry
Oilfield Services Or Equipment
Address
27287 - 100 Avenue Acheson
Phone
+1 780 948-2009
Employees
1730
Web
http://www.nacg.ca
NOA Stock Climbs 5% on $115M Acquisition: 5 AI Signals Forecasting 45% Rally to $22 by 2026