NSSC NAPCO Security Technologies Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Aroon Indicator for NSSC shows an upward move is likely

NSSC's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on August 26, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 257 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 220 of the 257 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 86%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NSSC's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 27 of 34 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 32 of 45 cases where NSSC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NSSC as a result. In 65 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NSSC just turned positive on September 30, 2026. Looking at past instances where NSSC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

Following a +1.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NSSC advanced for three days, in 246 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

NSSC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for NSSC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NSSC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NSSC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. NSSC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.566) is normal, around the industry mean (3.208). P/E Ratio (29.200) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.641). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.520) is also within normal values, averaging (5.749). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. NSSC's P/S Ratio (6.443) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.087).