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NSSC Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Head-and-Shoulders Top NSSC on February 03, 2025, netting in a 27.08% gain over 1 week

A.I.dvisor
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+27.08% Gain from a Successful pattern Head-and-Shoulders Top
NSSC - NAPCO Security Technologies
Tickeron
Ticker: NSSC
Company: NAPCO Security Technologies
Gain from shortening: +27.08%
Confirmed: 02/03/25
Succeeded: 02/03/25
Total length: 11 days
On January 23, 2025, A.I.dvisor detected a Head-and-Shoulders Top Pattern (Bearish) for NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC, $36.93). 11 days later, on February 03, 2025, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On February 03, 2025, the stock hit the target price of $28.21 – resulting in a +2 gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

NSSC in -3.84% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on February 21, 2025

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where NSSC declined for three days, in of 287 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 03, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NSSC as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NSSC turned negative on February 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

NSSC moved below its 50-day moving average on January 31, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The Aroon Indicator for NSSC entered a downward trend on January 23, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 12 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NSSC advanced for three days, in of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NSSC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.251) is normal, around the industry mean (28.563). P/E Ratio (34.241) is within average values for comparable stocks, (86.537). NSSC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.746). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.285) is also within normal values, averaging (12.332).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NSSC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. NSSC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

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NSSC
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General Information

a manufacturer of security products, encompassing electronic locking devices, intrusion and fire alarms and building access control systems

Industry MiscellaneousCommercialServices

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Building Products
Address
333 Bayview Avenue
Phone
+1 631 842-9400
Employees
1150
Web
https://www.napcosecurity.com