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NSSC Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Cup-and-Handle Inverse NSSC on October 30, 2024, netting in a 12.50% gain over 6 days

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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+12.50% Gain from a Successful pattern Cup-and-Handle Inverse
NSSC - NAPCO Security Technologies
Tickeron
Ticker: NSSC
Company: NAPCO Security Technologies
Gain from shortening: +12.5%
Confirmed: 10/30/24
Succeeded: 11/04/24
Total length: 6 days
On October 29, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Cup-and-Handle Inverse Pattern (Bearish) for NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC, $39.44). 1 day later, on October 30, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On November 04, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $34.62 – resulting in a +1 gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

NSSC sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for NSSC moved below the 200-day moving average on October 15, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 66 cases where NSSC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 11, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NSSC as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NSSC turned negative on November 14, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NSSC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for NSSC entered a downward trend on November 13, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NSSC's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NSSC advanced for three days, in of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NSSC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.251) is normal, around the industry mean (27.149). P/E Ratio (34.241) is within average values for comparable stocks, (88.031). NSSC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.729). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.285) is also within normal values, averaging (11.835).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NSSC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

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NSSC
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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General Information

a manufacturer of security products, encompassing electronic locking devices, intrusion and fire alarms and building access control systems

Industry MiscellaneousCommercialServices

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Building Products
Address
333 Bayview Avenue
Phone
+1 631 842-9400
Employees
1150
Web
https://www.napcosecurity.com