NVAX Price Prediction, Novavax AI Recommendations

NVAX's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NVAX turned positive on June 07, 2023. Looking at past instances where NVAX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 57 cases where NVAX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 08, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NVAX as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVAX advanced for three days, in of 276 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

NVAX moved below its 50-day moving average on June 06, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for NVAX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 26, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVAX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

NVAX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 09, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NVAX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (49.505) is normal, around the industry mean (25.340). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (123.530). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (4.381). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.439) is also within normal values, averaging (310.379).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NVAX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.

NVAX is expected to report earnings to fall 58.94% to -139 cents per share on August 03

Q2'23

Est.

$-1.40

Q1'23

Beat

by $0.01

Q4'22

Missed

by $1.09

Q3'22

Missed

by $3.78

Q2'22

Missed

by $10.17