NVS Novartis AG Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

NVS in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on September 09, 2026

The 10-day moving average for NVS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

NVS moved below its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 45%.

NVS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NVS's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 13 of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NVS as a result. In 47 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NVS just turned positive on September 24, 2026. Looking at past instances where NVS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

Following a +2.31% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVS advanced for three days, in 182 of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 4 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.720) is normal, around the industry mean (19.199). P/E Ratio (22.187) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.793). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.441) is also within normal values, averaging (5.738). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.715) is also within normal values, averaging (4.033).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NVS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.