NYMT New York Mortgage Trust Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

NYMT in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on April 04, 2025

NYMT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 36 cases where NYMT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NYMT's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NYMT just turned positive on April 24, 2025. Looking at past instances where NYMT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NYMT advanced for three days, in of 274 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 24, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NYMT as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

NYMT moved below its 50-day moving average on April 04, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for NYMT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 08, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NYMT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for NYMT entered a downward trend on April 21, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.634) is normal, around the industry mean (1.987). P/E Ratio (62.112) is within average values for comparable stocks, (62.654). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (7.058). NYMT has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.138) as compared to the industry average of (0.070). P/S Ratio (2.141) is also within normal values, averaging (7.141).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NYMT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NYMT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock better than average.