OESX stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Orion Energy Systems Inc provide light emitting diode (LED) lighting systems, wireless Internet of Things (IoT) enabled control solutions, commercial and industrial electric vehicle charging infrastructure solutions and lighting and electrical maintenance services... Show more
Why Orion Energy Systems (OESX) Stock Is Down -44.9% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- Orion Energy Systems (OESX) has fallen roughly 45% over the past 30 days, declining from a close of about $25.43 in mid-October to roughly $14.02.
- The decline accelerated sharply after the November 5 fiscal 2027 second-quarter report, when EPS of -$0.20 and revenue of $21.7 million both missed analyst consensus estimates.
- Despite the miss, revenue still rose 9% year over year, and management reaffirmed full-year FY2027 revenue guidance of $100 million to $102 million.
- Margin compression (gross margin of 28.7% versus 31.0% a year earlier) and a 41% year-over-year drop in EV charging revenue pressured investor sentiment.
- Longer-term growth catalysts remain intact, including repeat hyperscaler data-center LED orders and a $10 million to $15 million retail follow-on commitment.
- For additional context, explore Orion Energy's Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast pages.
- Investors can also track automated trading strategies in the Trending AI Robots section.
Orion Energy Systems (OESX) Company Overview and Market Position
Orion Energy Systems, Inc., headquartered in Manitowoc, Wisconsin, provides energy-efficiency and clean-tech solutions, including LED lighting and controls, electric vehicle (EV) charging solutions, and maintenance services. The company specializes in turnkey design-through-installation solutions for large national customers, as well as projects delivered through ESCO and distribution partners. Its business is organized around lighting products and services, maintenance and repair, and EV charging infrastructure. Investors follow OESX closely because of its exposure to energy-efficiency retrofit demand, an aging LED installed base, and emerging data-center lighting projects, all of which can swing results meaningfully from quarter to quarter.
Orion Energy Systems (OESX) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, OESX has declined approximately 44.9%, moving from a closing price of about $25.43 to roughly $14.02. The bulk of that decline occurred in early November, when the stock dropped from about $19.00 to the low-to-mid $13 range over a matter of sessions following its quarterly report. On a trailing three-month basis, the shares are down more than 30% from roughly $20.59 in mid-August. The stock actually rallied through September to a 52-week high near $31.65 before reversing, meaning the recent move represents a sharp give-back of earlier gains rather than a steady multi-month downtrend.
What Drove OESX Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The primary catalyst was Orion Energy's fiscal 2027 second-quarter earnings report, released November 5. The company posted a GAAP net loss of $0.20 per share, well below the consensus estimate of $0.04, while revenue of $21.69 million missed the roughly $23.22 million consensus. Gross margin fell to 28.7% from 31.0% a year earlier, driven by a product-mix shift in the lighting segment, and operating expenses rose on higher commissions and equity compensation. The EV charging segment added pressure, with revenue down 41% year over year to $2.8 million, reflecting uncertainty around the scope, pace, and funding of U.S. EV charging projects. These factors, combined with a previously elevated valuation after a strong September run, triggered a sharp re-rating.
Offsetting the negative headlines, management reaffirmed full-year revenue guidance of $100 million to $102 million and pointed to several growth drivers, including a second multimillion-dollar data-center lighting deployment for a major hyperscaler and a $10 million to $15 million follow-on LED retrofit commitment from a longtime retail customer. Insider activity also drew attention, as the company's CFO purchased 2,000 shares on November 10.
What Drove OESX Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
Over the trailing quarter, OESX has exhibited significant volatility. The stock climbed through September, benefiting from momentum around data-center lighting orders and a broadening AI-infrastructure narrative, before peaking near a 52-week high of $31.65. That run left the shares priced for strong execution, and the subsequent margin miss and EV charging softness triggered a sharp de-rating. The broader pullback reflects a reset of growth expectations: while the top line continues to expand and the data-center opportunity is real, investors are now weighing thinner margins and lumpy project timing against a premium that had built up during the September rally.
Trending AI Robots
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OESX Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Looking ahead, the key factors to monitor include whether Orion Energy can sustain its revenue ramp while rebuilding gross margin toward prior levels. The company's ability to convert its data-center and retail pipeline into completed projects will be central, as will any stabilization in the EV charging segment. Investors should also track guidance updates, backlog trends, and the timing of large project deliveries, which have historically created quarter-to-quarter variability. Macroeconomic conditions affecting commercial retrofit spending and EV infrastructure funding remain relevant risks. Finally, analyst revisions and any changes to the current price target and rating consensus may influence sentiment, though outcomes will ultimately depend on execution rather than short-term headlines.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
OESX in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026
OESX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 31 of 34 cases where OESX's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.70% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OESX advanced for three days, in 178 of 231 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on OESX as a result. In 82 of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
OESX moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for OESX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OESX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The Aroon Indicator for OESX entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 2 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.729) is normal, around the industry mean (2.765). OESX's P/E Ratio (-312.750) is considerably lower than the industry average of (13.467). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.020) is also within normal values, averaging (2.910). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.091) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.139) is also within normal values, averaging (9.055).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. OESX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. OESX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a company which develops, manufactures and markets energy management systems
Industry ElectricalProducts