PAYX Paychex Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

PAYX in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on September 08, 2026

PAYX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 22 of 38 cases where PAYX's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +2.89% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PAYX advanced for three days, in 175 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 125 of 239 cases where PAYX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 52%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PAYX moved out of overbought territory on August 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 13 of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 45%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PAYX as a result. In 39 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PAYX turned negative on August 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 27 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 55%.

PAYX moved below its 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for PAYX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 17, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PAYX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 7 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.074) is normal, around the industry mean (51.950). P/E Ratio (23.746) is within average values for comparable stocks, (82.426). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.051) is also within normal values, averaging (3.152). Dividend Yield (0.039) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.452) is also within normal values, averaging (70.180).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PAYX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PAYX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock better than average.