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PHM Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Broadening Top PHM on October 22, 2024, netting in a 8.80% gain over 1 week

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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+8.80% Gain from a Successful pattern Broadening Top
PHM - Pultegroup
Tickeron
Ticker: PHM
Company: Pultegroup
Gain from shortening: +8.8%
Confirmed: 10/22/24
Succeeded: 10/28/24
Total length: 12 days
On October 16, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Broadening Top Pattern (Bearish) for Pultegroup (PHM, $146.80). 6 days later, on October 22, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On October 28, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $130.52 – resulting in a gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

PHM in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on October 30, 2024

The 10-day moving average for PHM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PHM moved out of overbought territory on October 21, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 68 cases where PHM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PHM turned negative on October 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

PHM moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PHM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 15, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PHM as a result. In of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PHM advanced for three days, in of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

PHM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 306 cases where PHM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.407) is normal, around the industry mean (7.196). P/E Ratio (10.105) is within average values for comparable stocks, (103.177). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.329) is also within normal values, averaging (1.437). PHM has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.006) as compared to the industry average of (0.044). P/S Ratio (1.631) is also within normal values, averaging (88.859).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PHM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

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PHM
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General Information

a company which engages in the homebuilding business

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
3350 Peachtree Road NE
Phone
+1 404 978-6400
Employees
6382
Web
https://www.pultegroupinc.com