PRGS Progress Software Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

PRGS's Stochastic Oscillator is remaining in oversold zone for 2 days

Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 50-day moving average for PRGS moved above the 200-day moving average on August 14, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +4.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PRGS advanced for three days, in 169 of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

PRGS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 129 of 217 cases where PRGS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 59%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PRGS moved out of overbought territory on August 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 70%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PRGS as a result. In 62 of 97 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PRGS turned negative on August 17, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 59%.

PRGS moved below its 50-day moving average on September 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PRGS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 41 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.235) is normal, around the industry mean (22.181). P/E Ratio (19.379) is within average values for comparable stocks, (120.106). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.271) is also within normal values, averaging (1.993). Dividend Yield (0.004) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.711) is also within normal values, averaging (109.949).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PRGS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PRGS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.