PROV Provident Financial Holdings Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 24 of 58 cases where PROV's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 41%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PROV as a result. In 50 of 129 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 39%.

PROV moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for PROV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PROV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 45%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PROV just turned positive on October 28, 2026. Looking at past instances where PROV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 21 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.

Following a +0.17% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PROV advanced for three days, in 120 of 250 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.

PROV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 35 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.899) is normal, around the industry mean (1.262). P/E Ratio (17.500) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.480). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.470) is also within normal values, averaging (1.194). Dividend Yield (0.031) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.994) is also within normal values, averaging (3.740).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PROV’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.