QDEL stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
QuidelOrtho Corp is engaged in the development, manufacturing, and marketing of rapid diagnostic testing solutions... Show more
Why QuidelOrtho Corporation (QDEL) Is Down -36% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- QDEL has declined -36% over the past 30 days, driven primarily by a weaker-than-expected flu season impacting respiratory diagnostics demand and disappointing 2026 guidance.
- Over the past quarter, the stock has fallen -63%, reflecting broader challenges in the diagnostics sector amid moderating infectious disease activity.
- Key factors include performance in core segments like Labs and Point-of-Care diagnostics, alongside healthcare sector trends and institutional investor sentiment.
- Post-Q4 2025 earnings, despite an earnings per share (EPS) beat, shares dropped sharply due to conservative full-year outlook.
- Macro trends such as reduced seasonal illnesses have pressured revenue expectations for QuidelOrtho's immunoassay and molecular testing products.
QuidelOrtho Corporation (QDEL) Overview and Portfolio Exposure
QuidelOrtho Corporation (QDEL) focuses on in vitro diagnostics, providing testing solutions across key business segments rather than tracking a traditional index. These include Labs (clinical chemistry and immunoassay tests), Transfusion Medicine (blood typing and donor screening), Point of Care (rapid testing instruments), and Molecular Diagnostics (PCR-based syndromic testing). The company's exposure is concentrated in healthcare, specifically medical devices and diagnostics, with operations in North America, Europe, and emerging markets.
This structure explains recent price behavior: heavy reliance on seasonal respiratory illnesses for revenue makes QDEL vulnerable to milder flu seasons, while transfusion and point-of-care segments offer some diversification. Sector allocation is nearly 100% healthcare, amplifying sensitivity to diagnostic demand cycles and reimbursement trends.
QuidelOrtho Corporation (QDEL) Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, QDEL's price fell from approximately $19.12 to $12.15, a decline of -36%. The movement was volatile and trend-driven downward, with sharp drops following earnings commentary and flu season updates.
In the past quarter, the stock dropped from around $33.20 to $12.15, marking a -63% decrease. Performance was range-bound early but accelerated lower amid negative catalysts, underperforming broader healthcare benchmarks.
What Drove QDEL Price in the Last 30 Days
The -36% drop in QDEL over the past 30 days stemmed mainly from a moderate flu season reducing demand for respiratory diagnostics, a core revenue driver. QuidelOrtho's Labs and Point-of-Care segments, which include rapid antigen tests and immunoassays, saw pressured sales expectations as infectious disease activity waned.
Q4 2025 earnings on February 11, 2026, reported an EPS beat of $0.46 versus $0.43 expected, but 2026 guidance disappointed investors with conservative revenue projections tied to seasonal weakness. Healthcare sector performance was mixed, but diagnostics lagged amid lower illness incidence. Institutional flows showed reduced positioning by major holders like BlackRock and Vanguard, contributing to selling pressure. Market sentiment shifted negative on diagnostics cyclicality, directly impacting QDEL's valuation.
What Drove QDEL Performance Over the Last Quarter
QDEL's -63% quarterly decline reflected sustained weakness in diagnostics demand, exacerbated by a milder respiratory season across Labs and Molecular segments. Broader macroeconomic conditions, including stable interest rates but softening healthcare spending growth, added headwinds.
Top exposures in transfusion medicine provided limited offset, as blood screening volumes remained steady but insufficient to counter respiratory shortfalls. Institutional outflows from healthcare-focused vehicles holding QDEL amplified the downturn. Cumulative impacts from prior guidance revisions and sector cycles in medical devices led to derating, with QDEL underperforming peers like the XLV healthcare ETF.
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QDEL ETF Outlook: What Investors Should Watch Next
Investors should monitor upcoming respiratory illness seasons, as fluctuations in flu and COVID-19 cases directly affect QuidelOrtho's Labs and Point-of-Care revenues. Track healthcare sector performance, including reimbursement policies and diagnostic innovation trends. Watch major holders' positioning and fund flows into healthcare ETFs like XLV. Key catalysts include next earnings for segment breakdowns, macroeconomic shifts in inflation and growth, and competitive dynamics in molecular testing. Risks involve prolonged weak seasonality and regulatory changes in transfusion medicine.
Disclaimer
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QDEL in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on June 05, 2026
The 10-day moving average for QDEL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on QDEL as a result. In of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
QDEL moved above its 50-day moving average on June 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QDEL advanced for three days, in of 267 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 167 cases where QDEL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for QDEL moved out of overbought territory on June 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 22 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 62 cases where QDEL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QDEL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
QDEL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.520) is normal, around the industry mean (10.947). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (63.393). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.718). QDEL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.018). P/S Ratio (0.361) is also within normal values, averaging (23.694).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. QDEL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. QDEL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of diagnostic healthcare solutions
Industry MedicalNursingServices