RACE stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Key Takeaways

• Ferrari (RACE) shares climbed roughly 21.2% over the last 30 days, from about $360.14 to $436.54, on the back of a stronger-than-expected second-quarter report and raised full-year guidance.
• The rally was driven by record personalization demand, a richer product mix, and confirmation that the order book extends through the end of 2027.
• Investor sentiment also improved around the Luce, Ferrari's first all-electric model, after its initial 2026 allocation reportedly sold out.
• Over the last quarter the stock has advanced roughly 25%, rebounding sharply from a mid-May trough near $321 as analyst upgrades and multiple compression concerns eased.
• Key watch items include the two remaining 2026 model launches, Luce delivery execution, and the next earnings report scheduled for early November.

Ferrari (RACE) Company Overview and Market Position

Ferrari N.V. designs, engineers, produces, and sells luxury performance sports cars worldwide. The Italian marque, headquartered in Maranello, operates across a portfolio that spans range models, special series, limited-edition supercars such as the F80, track cars, and increasingly personalized one-off commissions. Beyond vehicle sales, the company generates revenue from racing (including Formula 1), spare parts, aftersales and restoration services, brand licensing, and lifestyle merchandise.

Ferrari is widely regarded as one of the strongest brand franchises in the automotive and luxury sectors. Its strategy centers on deliberate scarcity and exclusivity rather than volume growth, which underpins its pricing power and historically high margins. Investors follow the stock for its defensive demand profile, ultra-high-net-worth customer base, and consistent capital returns, while also monitoring its transition toward electrification and new model cadence.

Ferrari (RACE) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter

Over the last 30 days, Ferrari shares rose approximately 21.2%, moving from a close near $360.14 to $436.54. The advance was uneven rather than linear: the stock pulled back through mid-July before staging a decisive rebound in late July and early August, propelled by second-quarter earnings and guidance.

The broader quarterly picture shows an even stronger recovery. Roughly three months ago, in late May, the shares traded near $349, meaning the stock has gained roughly 25% over the trailing quarter. That rebound is more striking measured from the mid-May trough near $321, a level reached during a period of investor anxiety over the company's growth outlook and its electric-vehicle strategy. The subsequent climb reflects a shift from multiple-driven weakness toward renewed confidence in fundamentals.

What Drove RACE Stock Price in the Last 30 Days

The primary catalyst was Ferrari's second-quarter 2026 results, released July 30. The company reported revenue of €1.94 billion, up 8% year over year (11% at constant currency), alongside EBITDA of €755 million and an EBIT margin of 31.2%, all ahead of consensus expectations. Management raised its full-year guidance, lifting the 2026 EBITDA floor to approximately €2.97 billion and citing better-than-expected personalization and a more favorable foreign-exchange environment.

Personalization was a standout theme, representing more than 20% of cars and spare-parts revenue during the quarter, above management's own expectations. Richer mix, including contributions from the F80 and 12Cilindri families, further supported profitability. Crucially, executives confirmed the order book now covers the entirety of 2027, reinforcing demand visibility.

Sentiment around the Luce also improved. Following its launch, the company indicated orders were arriving in line with plans, and reports suggested the initial 2026 allocation of roughly 500 units had been accounted for, with demand extending into 2027. Combined with analyst support—including several firms maintaining or raising price targets after the report—these factors helped sustain the stock's momentum.

What Drove RACE Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter

The quarterly story is one of recovery from a de-rating. Through the first half of 2026, Ferrari shares had come under pressure amid concerns tied to its October 2025 capital markets day, softer residual values for hybrid models such as the 296 and SF90, and uncertainty around the electric Luce. Those worries translated into meaningful multiple compression even though earnings revisions were modest.

A turning point arrived in June, when Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to Overweight, arguing the selloff had overpriced temporary, product-cycle risks rather than structural brand damage. That reassessment, reinforced by the July earnings beat and guidance increase, set the stage for the strong quarterly advance. Dealer checks cited stabilizing resale values and intact brand desirability, while the confirmation of an order book filled through 2027 gave investors a concrete basis for renewed confidence.

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RACE Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next

Looking ahead, several factors are likely to shape Ferrari's trajectory. The two remaining 2026 model launches represent the most immediate product catalysts, with their reception serving as a test of the company's product-cycle reset. Investors will also monitor Luce delivery execution and whether initial order momentum converts into sustained demand without diluting brand exclusivity.

Macroeconomic conditions remain relevant, given the company's exposure to ultra-high-net-worth consumers and currency dynamics, particularly the U.S. dollar and Japanese yen. Residual values for hybrid models and the trajectory of personalization penetration will influence margin expectations. Ferrari's next earnings report, scheduled for early November, will offer the next formal update on guidance and demand, while broader developments in tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and luxury-sector spending remain important external variables.

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