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RARE stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc is a USA-based biopharmaceutical company... Show more

Industry: #Biotechnology
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RARE
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a Summary for RARE with price predictions
Oct 21, 2026

Momentum Indicator for RARE turns positive, indicating new upward trend

RARE saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 19, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 85 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 71 of the 85 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 84%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where RARE's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 26 of 36 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RARE just turned positive on September 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where RARE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

Following a +10.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RARE advanced for three days, in 220 of 280 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The 50-day moving average for RARE moved below the 200-day moving average on September 16, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RARE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

RARE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for RARE entered a downward trend on September 25, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 15 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (-5.394) is normal, around the industry mean (2.988). P/E Ratio (-2.731) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-1.158). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (9.059). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (123.903) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.809) is also within normal values, averaging (438.009).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RARE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RARE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA), Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:REGN), Incyte Corp (NASDAQ:INCY), Exelixis (NASDAQ:EXEL), Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ARWR), Sarepta Therapeutics (NASDAQ:SRPT), Novavax (NASDAQ:NVAX), Nektar Therapeutics (NASDAQ:NKTR), Inovio Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:INO), Cel-Sci Corp (ASE:CVM).

Industry description

Biotechnology involves genetic or protein engineering to produce medicines/therapies for treating and preventing ailments. The industry also provides crucial ingredients for diagnostics. This multi-billion-dollar industry is heavily focused on research and development, as companies attempt to continually come up with cutting-edge solutions for health. New discoveries for the treatment of diseases provide opportunities for growth for a company in this industry. Discoveries, however, must pass the regulatory approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) before they can make it to markets. Amgen Inc., Gilead Sciences, Inc. and Celgene Corporation are examples of companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Biotechnology Industry is 2.18B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 58 to 132.95B. VRTX holds the highest valuation in this group at 132.95B. The lowest valued company is SEELQ at 58.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -18%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15%. SLN experienced the highest price growth at 119%, while EYPT experienced the biggest fall at -86%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was -21%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 5% and the average quarterly volume growth was -32%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 43
Price Growth Rating: 67
SMR Rating: 93
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 1 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a developer of therapeutics for rare diseases

Industry Biotechnology

Industry
Biotechnology
Address
60 Leveroni Court
Phone
+1 415 483-8800
Employees
1371
Web
https://www.ultragenyx.com
Momentum Indicator for RARE turns positive, indicating new upward trend