RBRK stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Rubrik Inc is a company that offers data security solutions to organizations ranging from companies world-wide to mid-sized and smaller customers... Show more
Rubrik (RBRK) Stock Analysis: Consolidating Near Highs as Cyber Resilience and AI Demand Converge
Key Takeaways
- Rubrik shares were roughly flat over the past 30 days, trading near $114–$115 for a modest gain of about 1.5% after a sharp multi-month advance.
- Over the trailing quarter, the stock has climbed approximately 50%, reflecting strong earnings results and a series of analyst price-target increases.
- In its fiscal second quarter of 2027, Rubrik grew revenue 38% year over year to $427.3 million, with subscription ARR up 33% to $1.66 billion.
- Management raised its fiscal 2027 outlook, and several firms lifted price targets, citing cyber-resilience demand and early AI-agent momentum.
- The stock still trades at a premium valuation while remaining unprofitable on a GAAP basis, a key risk investors continue to weigh.
Current Market Snapshot
Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) has settled into a consolidation phase after a powerful run. Over the last 30 days, the stock has moved only marginally, holding in a range between roughly $109 and $126 as investors digested the prior rally. The most recent available price near $114.65 compares with a close of about $112.96 roughly 30 days earlier, a move of roughly 1.5%.
The sideways action stands in contrast to the broader trend. Over the trailing three months, RBRK has appreciated close to 50%, and the shares have gained more than 50% year to date, outpacing the broader software sector. The recent consolidation has been punctuated by bouts of profit-taking, some insider-selling disclosures, and periodic weakness across the technology complex, even as the company's underlying fundamentals and analyst sentiment have continued to improve.
Rubrik (RBRK) Business Overview and Competitive Position
Rubrik is a data security and cyber-resilience company that has expanded its positioning into what it describes as security and AI operations. Its flagship offering, Rubrik Security Cloud (RSC), is a cloud-native platform that secures data across enterprise, cloud, SaaS, and identity environments, helping organizations detect risks and recover rapidly from cyberattacks and ransomware.
The company has broadened its portfolio beyond traditional backup and recovery into identity resilience, data security posture management, and, more recently, AI-agent governance through Rubrik Agent Cloud. Rubrik also offers a sovereign cloud variant, protection for Microsoft 365 and DevOps pipelines, and solutions such as Anomaly Detection and Sensitive Data Monitoring. Its growth is driven by subscription annual recurring revenue, which reached $1.66 billion as of the end of the fiscal 2027 second quarter, with a net revenue retention rate above 119%.
Recent Developments Driving RBRK
Several developments shaped Rubrik's trading over the past month. In October, the company expanded Project Hourglass, adding partners including AHEAD, Trace3, and WWT, and introduced Rubrik Code Guardian, an AI-driven, air-gapped code security testing capability built on Rubrik Agent Cloud and leveraging Anthropic's Claude models. The move reinforced Rubrik's push to link its cyber-resilience business to the fast-growing enterprise AI agenda.
On the analyst front, sentiment remained constructive. Wedbush initiated coverage with an Outperform rating and added the stock to its Best Ideas List, while Baird raised its price target to $139 and Yorkville Ives initiated coverage with a $145 target. The consensus price target rose into the low $120s, reflecting broad confidence in the company's growth trajectory.
At the same time, the stock faced headwinds from profit-taking after reaching all-time highs in early October, along with disclosed insider selling and broader pressure on technology and semiconductor names. These factors contributed to the stock's choppy, range-bound trading even as operating results and guidance improved.
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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch
Looking ahead, Rubrik's trajectory hinges on its ability to sustain subscription ARR growth while expanding into newer markets such as identity resilience and AI-agent governance. For fiscal 2027, management raised its revenue guidance to approximately $1.69 billion, and the company guided toward a full-year non-GAAP earnings range of $0.47 to $0.53 per share, a meaningful step toward profitability.
Investors should monitor the pace of adoption for Rubrik Agent Cloud, the integration of recent acquisitions such as Predibase and Strata Identity, and progress in its strategic partnership with CrowdStrike. Competitive pressure in a crowded cyber-resilience and AI-security market, execution on margin expansion, and the stock's premium price-to-sales multiple remain key considerations. Any slowdown in subscription momentum or enterprise AI spending could test the current valuation.
Disclaimer
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RBRK's Stochastic Oscillator stoops into oversold zone
The Stochastic Oscillator for RBRK moved into oversold territory on November 03, 2026. Be on the watch for the price uptrend or consolidation in the future. At that time, consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 23, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on RBRK as a result. In 34 of 40 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Following a +1.95% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RBRK advanced for three days, in 132 of 157 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 113 of 130 cases where RBRK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 87%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for RBRK moved out of overbought territory on October 29, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 18 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 10 of the 18 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 56%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RBRK turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 16 of the 21 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RBRK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
RBRK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (-48.362) is normal, around the industry mean (16.526). P/E Ratio (-91.740) is within average values for comparable stocks, (57.809). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.648). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.287) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (13.774) is also within normal values, averaging (103.889).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RBRK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RBRK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
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