RBRK stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Rubrik Inc is a company that offers data security solutions to organizations ranging from companies world-wide to mid-sized and smaller customers... Show more
Why Rubrik (RBRK) Stock Is Up +36% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- Rubrik (RBRK) shares rose roughly 36% over the trailing 30-day period, from a close near $73.69 to about $100.09, as of the latest available session.
- The rally extended a broader uptrend, with the stock up approximately 50% over the last quarter.
- Momentum was fueled by a series of Wall Street price-target increases ahead of the company's fiscal second-quarter earnings report.
- Investor enthusiasm centers on Rubrik's fast-growing subscription and cloud annual recurring revenue (ARR) and its expanding AI-driven cyber resilience platform.
- The company raised its full-year revenue and adjusted EPS guidance following a fiscal first-quarter beat-and-raise.
Rubrik (RBRK) Company Overview and Market Position
Rubrik, Inc. is a cybersecurity and data security software company headquartered in Palo Alto, California. The company describes itself as a "Security and AI Operations" business and provides a cloud-native platform built around Rubrik Security Cloud, which delivers data protection, cyber recovery, and cyber resilience for enterprise, cloud, and software-as-a-service (SaaS) workloads.
Rubrik's offerings span enterprise and unstructured data protection, data threat analytics, data security posture management, identity resilience, and cyber recovery. More recently, the company has leaned into AI, launching capabilities such as Rubrik AI, the Annapurna unstructured data layer, and Rubrik Agent Cloud for securing AI coding agents. Its near-pure subscription revenue model, high gross margins, and strong net revenue retention have made it a closely watched name in the enterprise security sector since its April 2024 initial public offering.
Rubrik (RBRK) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, RBRK climbed from a closing price of roughly $73.69 to approximately $100.09, a gain of about 36%. The move followed a mid-July pullback that had taken the stock from the upper $80s back into the low $70s, before buyers reasserted control through early and mid-August.
The advance is part of a longer multi-month trend. Measured over the last quarter, the stock rose from a close near $66.59 to around $100.09, an increase of approximately 50%. During that span, RBRK traded as high as $106.50 on an intraday basis, near the upper end of its 52-week range, which extends from $42.25 to $106.50.
What Drove RBRK Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The most direct catalyst for the 30-day move was a wave of bullish analyst actions in August. Firms including Cantor Fitzgerald, Oppenheimer, KeyBanc, Goldman Sachs, Mizuho, and UBS raised their price targets and reiterated constructive ratings ahead of Rubrik's fiscal second-quarter report. Cantor Fitzgerald lifted its target to $120 from $95, while Oppenheimer moved to $120 from $90, citing expectations for continued beat-and-raise performance.
Underpinning the upgrades was sustained demand for cyber resilience as AI-driven threats compress the time between vulnerability discovery and exploitation. Investors also positioned ahead of Rubrik's quarterly results, anticipating further evidence of strong subscription ARR growth and improving operating margins. The stock's climb from late July into August reflected both pre-earnings positioning and renewed confidence in the company's AI and identity product pipeline.
What Drove RBRK Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The broader quarterly advance was anchored by Rubrik's fiscal first-quarter results, reported in early June. The company posted adjusted earnings per share of $0.16, well ahead of consensus expectations for a loss, and revenue of $387.1 million, up 39% year over year. Subscription revenue rose 41% to $374.2 million, subscription ARR reached $1.57 billion (up 32%), and cloud ARR grew 43% to $1.39 billion. Net revenue retention held at 120%.
Rubrik also raised its fiscal 2027 revenue outlook to a range of $1.638 billion to $1.648 billion and lifted its adjusted EPS guidance to $0.25 to $0.35. Around the same period, the company unveiled a series of AI-focused product announcements, including Rubrik AI, Autonomous Business Recovery for cloud applications, expanded identity resilience capabilities, and Rubrik Agent Cloud, reinforcing the narrative that Rubrik is well positioned for AI-era security demand. Institutional investors collectively hold roughly half of the company's shares.
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RBRK Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
The next major catalyst is Rubrik's fiscal second-quarter earnings report, which analysts and data providers indicate is scheduled around late August 2026. Investors will be watching subscription ARR growth, cloud ARR momentum, net revenue retention, and any updates to full-year guidance. Continued strength in the identity business, adoption of the company's AI products, and progress toward sustained profitability and positive free cash flow are also key themes.
Broader factors to monitor include enterprise security spending trends, competitive pressure in the data protection and cyber recovery market, and the macro environment's effect on high-growth software valuations. While analyst sentiment remains broadly positive, the stock's rapid appreciation also introduces the potential for volatility around earnings, where results will need to justify elevated expectations. None of this constitutes financial advice, and investors should evaluate risks independently.
Disclaimer
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RBRK in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on August 04, 2026
RBRK moved above its 50-day moving average on August 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 21 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for RBRK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 07, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 9 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RBRK advanced for three days, in of 148 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 123 cases where RBRK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for RBRK moved out of overbought territory on August 19, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 15 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 15 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RBRK as a result. In of 37 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RBRK turned negative on August 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 20 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 20 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RBRK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
RBRK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (22.110). P/E Ratio (28.386) is within average values for comparable stocks, (116.525). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.033). RBRK has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.019). P/S Ratio (12.092) is also within normal values, averaging (109.083).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RBRK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RBRK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
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