RDN Radian Group Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

RDN sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

RDN saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 11, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 51 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 63%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RDN as a result. In 44 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.

RDN moved below its 50-day moving average on August 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for RDN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 24 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RDN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

The Aroon Indicator for RDN entered a downward trend on August 18, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +2.82% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RDN advanced for three days, in 196 of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

RDN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 54, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 45 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.980) is normal, around the industry mean (1.140). P/E Ratio (8.795) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.934). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.990) is also within normal values, averaging (2.568).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RDN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.