RDW Redwire Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Redwire Corp is an integrated space and defense technology company focused on technologies including aerospace infrastructure, autonomous systems and multi-domain operations, leveraging digital engineering and artificial intelligence automation... Show more
RDW is expected to report earnings to fall 60.28% to -15 cents per share on August 12
Q2'26
Est.
$-0.16
Q1'26
Missed
by $0.25
Q4'25
Missed
by $0.40
Q3'25
Missed
by $0.17
Q2'25
Missed
by $1.28
The last earnings report on May 06 showed earnings per share of -40 cents, missing the estimate of -15 cents. With 14.44M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 2.10B.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RDW has been loosely correlated with LUNR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if RDW jumps, then LUNR could also see price increases.
RDW in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on June 25, 2026
The 10-day moving average for RDW crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 25, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RDW as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RDW turned negative on June 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
RDW moved below its 50-day moving average on June 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RDW declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for RDW entered a downward trend on July 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RDW advanced for three days, in of 273 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.935) is normal, around the industry mean (10.542). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (93.498). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (4.141). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.283) is also within normal values, averaging (32.047).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. RDW’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RDW’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
