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RGF
Stock ticker: NASDAQ
AS OF
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Price
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Capitalization
43.14M

RGF Real Good Food Company (The) Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for RGF with price predictions
08:00 PM EDT Sep 19, 2023

RGF sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

RGF saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 11, 2023. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 14 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 14 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RGF as a result. In of 38 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

RGF moved below its 50-day moving average on September 11, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for RGF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 05, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 7 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RGF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for RGF entered a downward trend on September 20, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RGF advanced for three days, in of 71 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

RGF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. RGF’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.421) is normal, around the industry mean (10.111). P/E Ratio (6.707) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.513). RGF's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.498). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.045) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.190) is also within normal values, averaging (29.119).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RGF’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Mondelez International (NASDAQ:MDLZ), Kraft Heinz Company (The) (NASDAQ:KHC), General Mills (NYSE:GIS), Campbell Soup Company (NYSE:CPB), Beyond Meat (NASDAQ:BYND).

Industry description

A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry is 7.78B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 6.25K to 327.81B. NSRGY holds the highest valuation in this group at 327.81B. The lowest valued company is OGGFF at 6.25K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 0%. RAYT experienced the highest price growth at 1,050%, while VICFF experienced the biggest fall at -49%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry was -15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 0% and the average quarterly volume growth was -5%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 63
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 78
Seasonality Score: -18 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

RGF is expected to report earnings to fall 59.48% to -11 cents per share on December 05

Real Good Food Company (The) RGF Stock Earnings Reports
Q3'23
Est.
$-0.12
Q2'23
Est.
$-0.29
Q1'23
Missed
by $0.23
Q4'22
Missed
by $0.07
Q3'22
Missed
by $0.09
The last earnings report on August 11 showed earnings per share of -28 cents, beating the estimate of -29 cents. With 35.14K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 43.14M.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Industry FoodSpecialtyCandy

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
3 Executive Campus
Phone
+1 856 644-5624
Employees
130
Web
https://www.realgoodfoods.com
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RGF and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that RGF and SOVO have been poorly correlated (+24% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that RGF and SOVO's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To RGF
1D Price
Change %
RGF100%
-2.04%
SOVO - RGF
24%
Poorly correlated
-0.04%
LW - RGF
23%
Poorly correlated
+0.92%
UTZ - RGF
22%
Poorly correlated
-3.42%
FAMI - RGF
21%
Poorly correlated
-0.61%
CYAN - RGF
21%
Poorly correlated
+3.25%
More

Groups containing RGF

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To RGF
1D Price
Change %
RGF100%
-2.04%
Food: Specialty/Candy
(undefined stocks)
-3%
Poorly correlated
-0.28%