Founded in 2000, Rapid7 is a cybersecurity company that began providing vulnerability management solutions... Show more
Rapid7, Inc. (NASDAQ: RPD) is a Boston-based cybersecurity provider focused on AI-powered managed security operations. The company's Command Platform integrates security data, threat intelligence, and managed detection and response (MDR) to help organizations identify vulnerabilities and disrupt attackers across cloud and on-premises environments. Its portfolio spans detection and response, vulnerability and exposure management, SIEM, application security, and penetration testing, serving more than 11,500 customers worldwide.
Investors follow Rapid7 for its position at the intersection of two durable themes: the persistent growth in cyber threats and the rapid adoption of AI across enterprise security. The company has historically been recognized as a leader in vulnerability management and preemptive MDR, though it has faced competitive pressure from larger, faster-growing platform rivals as it works to stabilize growth and improve profitability.
Over the last 30 days, Rapid7 shares advanced approximately 29%, moving from a closing price of $12.19 to a latest price near $15.78. The advance was not linear: the stock traded near $12 in early October, pulled back briefly, and then broke out sharply in late October, including a single-session gain of roughly 20% to $17.93 before settling back toward the $15–$16 range.
The broader quarterly trend has been one of recovery from depressed levels. After trading in the low double digits through September, the stock gained momentum into October as cybersecurity sentiment improved across the sector. The result is a multi-month rebound built on a mix of company execution and sector-wide enthusiasm, though the shares remain volatile and well below their prior highs.
The most powerful catalyst behind the recent move was a rotation into cybersecurity equities. Renewed attention on AI-driven security threats and a widely reported wave of high-severity software vulnerabilities lifted demand expectations across the sector, and Rapid7, as a pure-play vulnerability and exposure management name, was among the direct beneficiaries. A single late-October session saw the stock surge roughly 20% as investors rotated capital toward security software providers.
Company-specific developments reinforced the trend. On October 2, Rapid7 launched Rapid7 Intelligence, a unified engine designed to turn threat data into proactive defenses, sharpening its AI-focused narrative. The company also published its Quarterly Threat Landscape Report, which highlighted shrinking exploitation windows and rising automation in attacks—messaging that underscored demand for the kind of managed security Rapid7 sells. Analyst activity was modestly supportive, with Mizuho raising its price target to $13 from $11 while maintaining a Neutral rating, and RBC Capital reiterating a Hold. The upcoming third-quarter earnings report added to investor focus, as traders positioned ahead of the November 4 announcement.
The quarterly advance extends a longer turnaround story. In August, Rapid7 reported second-quarter results that exceeded expectations, posting non-GAAP EPS of $0.44 versus a consensus of $0.35 and revenue of $210.88 million against a roughly $208 million estimate, sending shares sharply higher the following session. At the same time, the company announced a restructuring plan that included a roughly 12% workforce reduction, aimed at achieving a 20% operating margin as it refocused investment on its core platform and managed security offerings.
That combination of a stabilizing financial picture, disciplined cost management, and an increasingly prominent AI-security narrative has underpinned the stock's recovery. Still, the company reported a modest year-over-year revenue decline in the second quarter, and the broader rally has been heavily influenced by sector momentum rather than company-specific fundamentals alone, leaving the shares sensitive to any shift in sentiment.
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Several factors will shape Rapid7's near-term trajectory. The company's third-quarter earnings report is the most immediate catalyst, with investors focused on annual recurring revenue, the pace of managed detection and response growth, and any updates to full-year guidance. Execution on the restructuring plan and progress toward the stated operating-margin target will also be closely scrutinized.
Beyond earnings, watch for developments in the exposure and vulnerability management market, continued AI-security demand trends, and analyst revisions to price targets. Macroeconomic conditions, enterprise security spending patterns, and competitive pressure from larger cybersecurity platforms remain key risks. These factors will determine whether the recent sector-driven momentum translates into sustained, fundamental-backed gains.
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RPD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 28 of the 30 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 90%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for RPD moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 22 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 86%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RPD as a result. In 66 of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RPD turned negative on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 84%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RPD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +4.04% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RPD advanced for three days, in 186 of 267 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 80 of 123 cases where RPD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 65%.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RPD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 72 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.030) is normal, around the industry mean (16.360). P/E Ratio (47.355) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.310). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.608) is also within normal values, averaging (3.696). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.434) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.968) is also within normal values, averaging (104.492).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RPD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of security data and analytics solutions
Industry ComputerCommunications