SES stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
SES AI Corp is a developer and manufacturer of rechargeable battery technologies and battery materials for Energy Storage Systems (ESS), Urban Air Mobility (UAM), drones, robotics, electric vehicles (EVs), and other applications... Show more
Why SES AI (SES) Stock Is Up +21% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- SES AI shares rose roughly 21% over the trailing 30 days, climbing from about $0.54 to around $0.65, though the move was volatile with a spike above $1.00 in mid-October.
- The advance was driven primarily by scaling of NDAA-compliant drone battery production in South Korea and stronger-than-expected customer demand.
- Over the trailing quarter, the stock is up about 12%, but it remains well below year-ago levels and is still down sharply on a 12-month basis.
- Key catalysts include ISO 9001:2015 certification, completion of a roughly one-million-cell annual capacity ramp, and plans to triple capacity by the second quarter of 2027.
- The company remains pre-profit, so catalysts and sentiment—rather than earnings—continue to drive price action.
SES AI (SES) Company Overview and Market Position
SES AI Corporation is a Boston-area developer and manufacturer of AI-enhanced lithium-metal (Li-Metal) and lithium-ion (Li-ion) rechargeable batteries. Founded in 2012, the company applies artificial intelligence across research and development, materials sourcing, cell design, engineering, manufacturing, and battery health and safety monitoring. Its differentiated technology aims to combine the high energy density of Li-Metal chemistry with the manufacturability of conventional Li-ion cells.
Originally focused on electric-vehicle batteries, SES AI has increasingly directed its near-term commercialization toward drones, urban air mobility, robotics, and energy storage systems. The company is backed by strategic investors including General Motors (GM), Hyundai Motor, Kia, and Honda (HMC). Its growth drivers include NDAA-compliant drone cells, premium energy storage systems, and its "Molecular Universe" AI-driven materials discovery platform.
SES AI (SES) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the trailing 30 days, SES shares advanced about 21%, rising from a closing level of approximately $0.54 to around $0.65. The move was not linear. The stock traded in a tight range through late September before surging in early October, briefly touching an intraday high above $1.06 on October 13, and then retracing significantly to its current level.
The broader quarterly picture is more mixed. From a mid-July closing price near $0.58, the stock is up about 12% on a trailing three-month basis. However, that modest gain masks considerable volatility, including a slide toward the $0.49–$0.50 range in early September before the October rebound. On a 12-month basis, the shares remain materially lower, reflecting a company that is still early in its commercialization journey.
What Drove SES Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The sharp move in SES shares traces largely to a series of announcements tied to its drone battery business. In late September, the company disclosed that its Chungju, South Korea facility had achieved ISO 9001:2015 certification for its quality management system and that it had completed scale-up to an annual production capacity of roughly one million Li-Metal and Li-ion pouch cells. SES AI also highlighted that a change in South Korean export-control thresholds for high-energy-density batteries created a favorable compliance environment for its Korea-produced, NDAA-compliant cells.
Momentum accelerated in mid-October when SES AI announced it had completed the ramp to one million NDAA-compliant cells per year and, citing stronger-than-expected customer demand, planned to immediately expand toward three million cells annually by the second quarter of 2027. Management noted that several leading drone OEMs and pack makers were conducting quality audits and that order coverage extended toward 2028.
The rally also reflected broader investor enthusiasm for defense-adjacent and drone-related technology themes. At the same time, the stock's pullback from its October peak showed the two-way volatility typical of a low-priced, pre-profit company. Notably, independent research firm Weiss Ratings issued a downgrade to a "Sell" rating in early October, underscoring that fundamental caution coexists with the positive operational headlines.
What Drove SES Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
Over the trailing quarter, SES shares were shaped by a strategic pivot toward applications with nearer-term revenue potential. The company has de-emphasized the long-qualification-cycle EV market in favor of drones, energy storage, and AI-driven materials discovery. This repositioning was reinforced throughout the period by drone-cell capacity expansion, quality certification, and progress on its energy storage and "Molecular Universe" software offerings.
Fundamentals remain a work in progress. In its most recent quarterly results, SES AI reported revenue of $5.1 million and a gross margin above 22%, while still posting a significant GAAP net loss. The company reiterated full-year revenue guidance in the $30–$35 million range and ended the quarter with roughly $163 million in cash and short-term investments. That liquidity supports continued investment, but ongoing losses and a market capitalization around $265 million reflect investor skepticism about the pace of commercial scaling.
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SES Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Several factors are likely to influence SES AI shares going forward. Investors will monitor the company's quarterly results and any updates to full-year revenue guidance, as well as progress on converting drone-cell qualifications into commercial orders. The timeline for the Chungju capacity expansion toward three million cells per year by mid-2027, and the associated capital requirements, will also be closely watched.
Additional areas of focus include the commercialization of the "Molecular Universe" AI platform, energy storage distribution gains, and any updates on strategic partnerships or inorganic growth. Macroeconomic conditions, defense and drone-sector budget trends, and changes in NDAA-related compliance requirements represent external variables that could affect demand. Because the company remains unprofitable, execution on revenue growth and cost discipline will remain central to the investment narrative.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
SES in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026
The 10-day moving average for SES crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
SES moved above its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +28.24% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SES advanced for three days, in 183 of 231 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 83 of 103 cases where SES Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 81%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SES moved out of overbought territory on October 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 21 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SES as a result. In 79 of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SES turned negative on October 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 38 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SES declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
SES broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 24 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.253) is normal, around the industry mean (0.880). P/E Ratio (-3.156) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.798). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.471). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.237) is also within normal values, averaging (49.084).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SES’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SES’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
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a provider of gasification technology systems and solutions to the energy and chemical industries
Industry AutoPartsOEM