SES stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
SES AI Corp is a developer and manufacturer of rechargeable battery technologies and battery materials for Energy Storage Systems (ESS), Urban Air Mobility (UAM), drones, robotics, electric vehicles (EVs), and other applications... Show more
Why SES AI Corporation (SES) Stock Is Down -40.6% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- SES AI Corporation shares plunged approximately 40.6% over the last 30 days, falling from $1.05 on June 22, 2026, to $0.6233 as of July 22, 2026.
- The NYSE issued a non-compliance notice on July 17 after the stock's average closing price fell below the $1.00 minimum threshold over a consecutive 30-trading-day period.
- A shareholder litigation investigation by Bernstein Liebhard LLP, announced July 7, added pressure by raising concerns about potential fiduciary duty breaches.
- Surging short interest — rising from 22.17 million shares on June 15 to 30.88 million by June 30 — amplified downward momentum.
- A broader July rotation out of AI and technology stocks compounded selling pressure across the small-cap battery developer.
SES AI Corporation (SES) Company Overview and Market Position
SES AI Corporation is a Boston-based developer and manufacturer of AI-enhanced lithium-metal and lithium-ion rechargeable batteries. Founded in 2012, the company focuses on next-generation battery technologies for electric vehicles, urban air mobility, drones, robotics, and battery energy storage systems. SES went public in 2022 via a SPAC merger and operates across the United States, Singapore, Shanghai, and Seoul. The company has strategic relationships with major automakers including General Motors, Hyundai, and Honda, and has expanded into three revenue-generating business units: energy storage systems (ESS) through its UZ Energy subsidiary, drone cells, and advanced materials. Its proprietary Molecular Universe platform leverages AI to accelerate battery materials discovery and development. Despite growing revenue — which rose nearly tenfold to $21 million in 2025 — the company remains pre-profit and is targeting $30 million to $35 million in revenue for 2026.
SES AI Corporation (SES) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 calendar days, SES stock has experienced a steep and accelerating decline. On June 22, 2026, shares closed at $1.05. By July 22, the stock had fallen to $0.6233, representing a drop of approximately 40.6%. The decline was particularly sharp in July, with the stock losing roughly 37% in the first three weeks of the month alone. The daily trading pattern shows a persistent series of lower closes, with only occasional short-lived rebounds, indicating sustained selling pressure rather than a single event-driven sell-off.
Over the broader quarter, the stock has similarly underperformed. From levels above $1.00 throughout much of the second quarter, SES steadily eroded before breaking below the psychologically and regulatory significant $1.00 threshold in early July. The quarterly trend reflects a combination of company-specific challenges and deteriorating sentiment toward pre-revenue and early-revenue technology names, particularly those with exposure to the electric vehicle and battery sectors that have faced a more cautious capital environment in 2026.
What Drove SES Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The dominant catalyst for the 30-day decline was the NYSE non-compliance notice. On July 17, 2026, SES received formal notification from the New York Stock Exchange that its Class A common stock had fallen below the $1.00 minimum average closing price over a consecutive 30-trading-day period, triggering a violation of Section 802.01C of the NYSE Listed Company Manual. While the notice does not result in immediate delisting and the company has a six-month cure period, the announcement validated bearish sentiment and accelerated the sell-off. The stock fell to $0.5822 on July 20, near its 52-week low of $0.5701.
Compounding the delisting risk, Bernstein Liebhard LLP disclosed on July 7 that it was investigating potential breaches of fiduciary duties by SES directors and officers. The announcement sent shares down 10.23% in a single session. Although no formal lawsuit has been filed, the investigation reintroduced questions about governance and disclosures dating back to the company's 2022 SPAC merger, adding a layer of legal uncertainty.
Rising short interest also played a significant role. Data shows short positions climbed from 22.17 million shares in mid-June to 30.88 million by June 30, reflecting growing bearish conviction. A broader rotation out of AI and momentum stocks in mid-July further exacerbated declines, as investors reassessed valuations across the technology landscape and reduced exposure to speculative, small-cap names. With a market capitalization of approximately $232 million and thin trading liquidity at times, SES was particularly vulnerable to outsized percentage moves.
What Drove SES Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The quarterly decline reflects a convergence of structural and market-driven pressures. On the operational side, SES reported first-quarter 2026 revenue of $6.7 million — a 47% sequential increase — but the figure fell short of consensus estimates of approximately $8.05 million. While management affirmed full-year guidance of $30 million to $35 million and emphasized progress across ESS, drone, and materials business units, the revenue miss reinforced skepticism about the pace of commercial scaling.
Investor concerns about cash burn have persisted. The company ended 2025 with approximately $200 million in liquidity, which management projects will fund operations into 2028. However, with negative free cash flow and ongoing operating losses — the GAAP net loss was $73 million in 2025 — the market has increasingly focused on the path to profitability rather than top-line growth alone. The EV battery sector more broadly has faced headwinds as automakers have slowed investments in next-generation battery commercialization, directly impacting SES's legacy joint development agreements with Honda and Hyundai, whose service revenue was not expected to recur in 2026. These factors, combined with the NYSE notice and litigation investigation in July, have driven the quarterly underperformance.
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SES Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
The single most important near-term catalyst is the company's response to the NYSE non-compliance notice. Investors will closely monitor whether SES pursues a reverse stock split or relies on an operational or market-driven recovery to regain the $1.00 threshold. The six-month cure period provides time, but the clock is ticking. The company's second-quarter 2026 earnings report, expected around August 11, 2026, will be critical. Revenue performance against the $30 million to $35 million annual guidance trajectory, gross margin trends, and progress updates on the drone cell conversion in South Korea and the Molecular Universe platform will all shape sentiment.
Additionally, any developments in the Bernstein Liebhard investigation — particularly if it advances to a formal securities class action — could introduce material financial and reputational risk. On the macro front, the health of the AI and technology trade, interest rate expectations, and EV sector capital flows will influence appetite for speculative growth names. Finally, commercial execution milestones — including the ramping of the ATG EPower North American ESS distribution agreement and customer qualification of drone cells — will test whether SES can convert its strategic pipeline into sustained, high-margin revenue growth.
Disclaimer
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SES in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on July 13, 2026
SES may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 29 cases where SES's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SES's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 20 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SES just turned positive on July 31, 2026. Looking at past instances where SES's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SES advanced for three days, in of 234 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SES declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for SES entered a downward trend on July 31, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.000) is normal, around the industry mean (2.142). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (70.133). SES's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.951). SES has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.026). P/S Ratio (8.333) is also within normal values, averaging (63.313).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SES’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SES’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
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