SM SM Energy Company Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Aroon Indicator for SM shows an upward move is likely

SM's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on September 22, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 233 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 199 of the 233 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 85%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 52 of 67 cases where SM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

SM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +4.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SM advanced for three days, in 248 of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

SM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SM moved out of overbought territory on September 16, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 15 of the 25 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 60%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SM as a result. In 76 of 99 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SM turned negative on September 17, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 77%.

The 10-day moving average for SM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 21 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.021) is normal, around the industry mean (5.088). P/E Ratio (5.949) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.683). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.561) is also within normal values, averaging (1.958). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.242) is also within normal values, averaging (5.980).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock slightly better than average.