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The investment seeks long-term capital growth... Show more

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A.I.Advisor
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A.I.Advisor
Nov 01, 2026

Why Spear Alpha ETF (SPRX) Is Down -24% in the Last 30 Days

Key Takeaways

  • The Spear Alpha ETF (SPRX) declined roughly 24% over the last 30 days, from about $48.20 to $36.75 per share.
  • Over the trailing quarter the fund is down approximately 13%, having peaked near $52 in early October before reversing sharply.
  • The drawdown reflects the fund's concentrated exposure to semiconductor equipment, optical networking, and AI infrastructure names.
  • Largest holdings—Astera Labs, Cloudflare, Lam Research, Coherent, and Arm Holdings—drive a large share of performance.
  • As an actively managed, non-diversified fund with a 0.75% net expense ratio, SPRX carries elevated single-theme concentration risk in both directions.
  • For additional detail, explore SPRX Price Targets and Forecast pages, which offer deeper technical and predictive analysis.
  • Discover automated strategies and market signals by exploring Trending AI Robots.

Spear Alpha ETF (SPRX) Overview and Portfolio Exposure

The Spear Alpha ETF is an actively managed, non-diversified exchange-traded fund that invests primarily in equity securities of companies its adviser believes are positioned to benefit from breakthrough innovation in industrial and information technology. Launched in August 2021, the fund pursues long-term capital growth by concentrating capital in a relatively small basket of roughly 30 holdings rather than tracking a broad benchmark.

Portfolio exposure is overwhelmingly technology-oriented, with the sector representing roughly 75% to 90% of net assets, complemented by smaller allocations to industrials and financial services. Top positions include Astera Labs, Cloudflare, Lam Research, Coherent, and Arm Holdings, alongside optical and connectivity names such as Lumentum, Applied Optoelectronics, Ciena, and Credo Technology, plus semiconductor-equipment leader KLA and a private holding in Space Exploration Technologies (SpaceX). The fund carries a net expense ratio of 0.75%.

This concentrated, high-beta structure explains the fund's volatility: because a handful of AI-infrastructure and semiconductor supply-chain positions dominate the portfolio, sector-wide shifts in sentiment translate directly into outsized share-price moves.

Spear Alpha ETF (SPRX) Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter

Over the last 30 days, SPRX fell approximately 24%, declining from a close near $48.20 to $36.75. The move was not gradual: the fund traded near $52 in early October before a sharp, multi-week reversal erased those gains.

The trailing quarter tells a similar story of volatility. Measured from a base near $42 in late July, SPRX is down roughly 13% as of the most recent close—but that figure masks a mid-quarter rally to a peak above $52, followed by a pronounced selloff. In short, the quarter has been trend-reversing rather than range-bound, with concentrated tech exposure amplifying both the advance and the subsequent decline.

What Drove SPRX Price in the Last 30 Days

The recent decline is best understood through the fund's portfolio rather than any single event. SPRX's largest weightings sit squarely in the AI-infrastructure and semiconductor ecosystem—chip-connectivity leader Astera Labs, cloud-security and networking provider Cloudflare, wafer-fabrication equipment makers Lam Research and KLA, and optical-component suppliers Coherent, Lumentum, Applied Optoelectronics, and Ciena. These are high-valuation, high-beta businesses whose shares are sensitive to shifts in AI capital-expenditure expectations and to the trajectory of interest rates.

As technology and semiconductor equities broadly came under pressure, the fund's concentrated positioning meant it absorbed a disproportionate share of the weakness. The optical networking and semiconductor-equipment segments, in particular, tend to move together on AI-infrastructure sentiment, so a pullback in that theme rippled across a large portion of the portfolio. Because SPRX is non-diversified and holds only about 30 names, it could not offset these declines through unrelated sectors.

What Drove SPRX Performance Over the Last Quarter

Over the full three-month period, the dominant force has been a rotation within—and growing scrutiny of—the AI and semiconductor trade. Early in the quarter, enthusiasm around AI infrastructure buildouts lifted SPRX's holdings to a peak above $52. That advance then unwound as investors reassessed the durability of elevated technology valuations and the pace of future capital spending.

Fundamentals remain concentrated in a narrow set of growth names, which makes the fund highly sensitive to institutional positioning and risk appetite. The same characteristics that powered the fund's advance—tight focus on AI hardware, optical connectivity, and semiconductor capital equipment—also magnified the subsequent decline, underscoring how actively managed, thematic vehicles can experience sharp swings when sector sentiment turns.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery platform that helps investors scan thousands of securities using technical indicators, fundamentals, volatility metrics, price patterns, industry filters, and AI-generated signals. By combining customizable criteria with performance characteristics, the tool is designed to surface ideas more efficiently than manual screening. Investors seeking to monitor the same AI-infrastructure and semiconductor themes that drive SPRX can use the screener to filter for relevant industries and momentum profiles.

SPRX ETF Outlook: What Investors Should Watch Next

Looking ahead, the factors most likely to influence SPRX are structural rather than isolated. Interest-rate expectations will remain central, given the portfolio's tilt toward long-duration growth equities. The pace and visibility of AI capital expenditure—particularly in data-center connectivity, optical networking, and semiconductor manufacturing equipment—will continue to drive the fund's largest holdings. Inflation data and the broader macroeconomic growth outlook will also shape investor appetite for high-valuation technology names.

At the holding level, earnings and guidance from semiconductor-equipment and optical-component companies will be key, as will any shifts in cloud and AI-infrastructure spending cycles. Capital flows into thematic technology ETFs, regulatory developments affecting semiconductor trade, and the competitive landscape in AI hardware all carry the potential to act as catalysts or risks. Because SPRX is actively managed, its adviser may also adjust positioning in response to these conditions, making ongoing portfolio-level monitoring essential.

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SPRX with price predictions
Nov 06, 2026

SPRX's RSI Oscillator stays in oversold zone for 2 days

It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +7.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPRX advanced for three days, in 304 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

SPRX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPRX as a result. In 73 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPRX turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 49 of the 55 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 89%.

SPRX moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SPRX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 17 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The 50-day moving average for SPRX moved below the 200-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPRX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

The Aroon Indicator for SPRX entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:CRWD), Arista Networks Inc (NYSE:ANET), KLA Corporation (NASDAQ:KLAC), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL), Lumentum Holdings (NASDAQ:LITE), Nokia Corp (NYSE:NOK), Ciena Corp (NYSE:CIEN).

Industry description

The investment seeks long-term capital growth. The fund is an actively-managed exchange-traded fund (“ETF”) that will invest primarily in equity securities, including common stock or American depositary receipts (“ADRs”) of companies that Spear Advisors LLC (the “Adviser”) believes are poised to benefit from breakthrough innovation in industrial technology. The Adviser defines “innovation in industrial technology” as those technological developments that are transforming or have the potential to transform the industrial sector. It is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Spear Alpha ETF (SPRX) ETF is 273.99B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.26B to 1.77T. SPCX holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.77T. The lowest valued company is AAOI at 4.26B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Spear Alpha ETF (SPRX) ETF was -17%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -41%, and the average quarterly price growth was -34%. KRMN experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while LITE experienced the biggest fall at -36%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Spear Alpha ETF (SPRX) ETF was 5%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 63% and the average quarterly volume growth was -30%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 65
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 70
Seasonality Score: -1 (-100 ... +100)
Why Spear Alpha ETF (SPRX) Is Down -24% in the Last 30 Days