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Dec 07, 2021

Constellation Brands (STZ, $235.34) to build $1.3 billion brewery in Mexico

Constellation Brandsย  ย has agreed to build a large brewery in southeastern Mexico, with an investment of about $1.3 billion. This comes almost two-years after the beverage maker had a dispute with the Mexican government.

According to the Wall Street Journal, Constellation and Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador are expected to announce the plan to build the new brewery as soon as this week.

In early 2020, Constellation had to close its almost finished $1.4 billion brewery in the city of Mexicali.

The Mexican government acted after local residents voted against the project, on allegations that the factory would use excessive water and hurt local farmers.

Constellation told the Journal that negotiations with the Mexican government "have been productive and remain ongoing."

Related Ticker: STZ

STZ in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on March 17, 2025

The 10-day moving average for STZ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on March 17, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 26, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on STZ as a result. In of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for STZ just turned positive on March 26, 2025. Looking at past instances where STZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

STZ moved above its 50-day moving average on March 24, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where STZ advanced for three days, in of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 250 cases where STZ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for STZ moved out of overbought territory on March 11, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where STZ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

STZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 07, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.133) is normal, around the industry mean (3.903). P/E Ratio (30.858) is within average values for comparable stocks, (29.201). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.236) is also within normal values, averaging (2.099). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.141) is also within normal values, averaging (6.505).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. STZโ€™s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. STZโ€™s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock better than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV (NYSE:BUD), Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE:TAP).

Industry description

The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Beverages: Alcoholic Industry is 21.06B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.66K to 19.33T. PBGDF holds the highest valuation in this group at 19.33T. The lowest valued company is WBEVQ at 2.66K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Alcoholic Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11%. TNYBF experienced the highest price growth at 88%, while SBEV experienced the biggest fall at -45%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Alcoholic Industry was 53%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 20% and the average quarterly volume growth was -18%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 53
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 81
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: 10 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

an alcoholic beverages distributor

Industry BeveragesAlcoholic

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Beverages Alcoholic
Address
207 High Point Drive
Phone
+1 585 678-7100
Employees
10700
Web
https://www.cbrands.com