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SWVL
Stock ticker: NASDAQ
AS OF
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Capitalization
6.32M

SWVL Swvl Holdings Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SWVL with price predictions
07:00 PM EST Nov 27, 2023

SWVL's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SWVL turned positive on November 24, 2023. Looking at past instances where SWVL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 10 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 18 cases where SWVL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 28, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SWVL as a result. In of 27 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SWVL advanced for three days, in of 44 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SWVL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

SWVL moved below its 50-day moving average on November 27, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SWVL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for SWVL entered a downward trend on October 24, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.926) is normal, around the industry mean (20.910). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (159.483). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.580). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.083) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.086) is also within normal values, averaging (74.275).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SWVL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SWVL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), NetEase (NASDAQ:NTES).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 9.13B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 2.81T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.81T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 9%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. NEWUF experienced the highest price growth at 375%, while HLCO experienced the biggest fall at -72%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -4%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 25% and the average quarterly volume growth was -26%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 72
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -6 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

SWVL is expected to report earnings to fall 30.43% to -7 cents per share on March 01

Swvl Holdings Corp SWVL Stock Earnings Reports
Q4'22
Est.
$-0.08
Q3'22
Missed
by $0.01
Q2'22
Beat
by $0.33
Q1'22
Est.
$-0.17
The last earnings report on November 30 showed earnings per share of -11 cents, missing the estimate of -10 cents. With 3.71K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 6.32M.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
The Offices 4, One Central
Phone
+971 42241293
Employees
203
Web
https://www.swvl.com
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SWVL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that SWVL and ETWO have been poorly correlated (+25% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that SWVL and ETWO's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SWVL
1D Price
Change %
SWVL100%
+1.08%
ETWO - SWVL
25%
Poorly correlated
+3.52%
VMW - SWVL
23%
Poorly correlated
N/A
ALRM - SWVL
23%
Poorly correlated
-0.52%
CCCS - SWVL
21%
Poorly correlated
-0.17%
INTU - SWVL
21%
Poorly correlated
+0.68%
More